PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick June 22/12. Down 26.78%.) This trade starts around the middle of July and goes through until the end of September. Gold is very seasonal and is not a longer-term investment.

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick June 22/12. Up 26.4%.) This trade was based on summertime travel.

SELL

Stocks like this follow the seasonal pattern of the technology sector. This is normally around the middle of October until about the end of January. Worked out well this last period. Stock has been drifting over the last 2-3 weeks and has broken a key support level. If you own, take some profits.

SELL

If you own, you have done very well. However, recently, it broke a support level, established a downward trend and is now underperforming the market. Below its 20 day moving average. Now is the time to take some profits.

COMMENT

This has very strong seasonality on the downside, usually around this time of year and getting into this summer. At this time of year, steel stocks have a tendency to move significantly lower. We are just entering the period of seasonal weakness now.

HOLD

He often pairs Consumers Discretionary with Consumer Staples (XLP-N) and we are getting to the critical time very shortly. Historically, you want to be in this one right around November and hold it until, on average, April 22. Just hit an all-time high today. Hang on until you start seeing technical signs of it starting to roll over. He’ll probably be taking profits on this one in the next week or 2.

COMMENT

Historically he has sold the Consumer Discretionary (XLY-N) right around this time and has gone long this one. He hasn’t made that decision as yet because this year this one is not underperforming as usual.

SELL

This normally moves very strongly from around November each year to around this time of year. During the last couple of weeks, it has broken a short-term support level and established a downward trend. Starting to underperform the TSE Composite and is also trading below its 20 Day Moving Average. Now is the time to take some profits.

DON'T BUY

Historically oil service stocks do very well from January right through until this time of year. However, this one has not been doing that and has been underperforming the sector as well as the market. Also, probably below its 20 day moving average. There are probably better ones available.

DON'T BUY

RSI is ridiculously low at single digit levels. This is called “How to catch a falling knife.” Clearly in a downward trend and is underperforming the market. Historically, the stock has some good seasonal patterns. Usually around July-September.

HOLD

This is a good one. Seasonality tends to be from November right through until the end of April. Couple of days ago it hit a five-year high. Significantly outperforming the Canadian market.

TOP PICK

He was on the show in May 11/12. For the next 6 weeks, the S&P 500 dropped 10.5% so it was a good time to be in cash or cash equivalents. The same thing happened with the TSX which had a 9.4% drop. It was a good time to hide. He went 100% cash. He has the same recommendations this year in his 2 Top Picks.

TOP PICK

Not recommending doing this today because there is still some momentum in the market. But he is guessing you will want to do this before May 5. This is US treasury bonds and the seasonality for them is from May 6 to October 3. This is when US bond prices go higher.

TOP PICK

Buy 90 day treasury bills. Doesn’t stay in this all the time. Last year he went into fertilizer stocks around the end of June and went into gold equities around the beginning of July. Those 2 sectors have very strong seasonality at that time.