MegaBrands (MB-T ) Stock Predictions - Stockchase
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45
MegaBrands (MB-T )

ON STOCKCHASE SINCE May 2002

educational and construction toys

Taken over by its parent Mattel (May 2014)

misc consumer products

MegaBrands

MB-T

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MegaBrands (MB-T ) SAVE Dec, 31, 1969, 7:00 pm

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PAST TOP PICK
MegaBrands(MB-T ) 

April 16, 2014

(A Top Pick April 23/13. Long Mega Blocks Warrants (MB.WT-T) and Short Mega Blocks (MB-T). Up 63%.) Had identified the warrants as being mispriced.

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(A Top Pick April 23/13. Long Mega Blocks Warrants (MB.WT-T) and Short Mega Blocks (MB-T). Up 63%.) Had identified the warrants as being mispriced.

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Jerome Hass

Portfolio , Lightwater Partners...

Price Price
$17.720
Owned Owned
No

PAST TOP PICK
MegaBrands(MB-T ) 

April 16, 2014

(A Top Pick April 23/13. Long Mega Blocks Warrants (MB.WT-T) and Short Mega Blocks (MB-T). Up 63%.) Had identified the warrants as being mispriced.

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(A Top Pick April 23/13. Long Mega Blocks Warrants (MB.WT-T) and Short Mega Blocks (MB-T). Up 63%.) Had identified the warrants as being mispriced.

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Jerome Hass

Portfolio , Lightwater Partners...

Price Price
$0.390
Owned Owned
No

COMMENT
MegaBrands(MB-T ) 

December 16, 2013

Numbers on toys hasn’t been great on a macro level, and there are some headwinds from a weak Black Friday. Q4 is always the biggest quarter of the year in terms of sales, so not a bad time to own it. He plays this through warrants. Goes Long warrants and Shorts the underlying common shares. Feels the warrants are mispriced and there is about 1.5 years left in them so he sees the optionality with the warrants.

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Numbers on toys hasn’t been great on a macro level, and there are some headwinds from a weak Black Friday. Q4 is always the biggest quarter of the year in terms of sales, so not a bad time to own it. He plays this through warrants. Goes Long warrants and Shorts the underlying common shares. Feels the warrants are mispriced and there is about 1.5 years left in them so he sees the optionality with the warrants.

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Jerome Hass

Portfolio , Lightwater Partners...

Price Price
$15.540
Owned Owned
Yes

BUY on WEAKNESS
MegaBrands(MB-T ) 

October 7, 2013

Looked at it seriously recently.  Has risen from the ashes.  Re-stabilized the business.  Must reinvent a good portion of their product line every year.  Challenge will be to grow sales.  It is fully valued here.  Wait and see.  Would buy if it got weak enough.

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Looked at it seriously recently.  Has risen from the ashes.  Re-stabilized the business.  Must reinvent a good portion of their product line every year.  Challenge will be to grow sales.  It is fully valued here.  Wait and see.  Would buy if it got weak enough.

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Stephen Takacsy

Chief Inve, Lester Asset Managem...

Price Price
$15.950
Owned Owned
No

BUY
MegaBrands(MB-T ) 

September 18, 2013

Very positive.  Could be taken out by Mattel.  Good to hold toy stocks going into Christmas.  He is short the common stock and long the warrants.  There is a year and a half left in the warrants.  This is how he plays megabrands.

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Very positive.  Could be taken out by Mattel.  Good to hold toy stocks going into Christmas.  He is short the common stock and long the warrants.  There is a year and a half left in the warrants.  This is how he plays megabrands.

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Jerome Hass

Portfolio , Lightwater Partners...

Price Price
$15.650
Owned Owned
Yes

PAST TOP PICK
MegaBrands(MB-T ) 

July 16, 2013

(A Top Pick April 23/13. Up 4.2%.) Went long on the warrants and shorted the stock. Still likes this strategy very much and this is one of his largest positions in his portfolio. Liked the Mega-Brand story but felt the warrants were mispriced.

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(A Top Pick April 23/13. Up 4.2%.) Went long on the warrants and shorted the stock. Still likes this strategy very much and this is one of his largest positions in his portfolio. Liked the Mega-Brand story but felt the warrants were mispriced.

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Jerome Hass

Portfolio , Lightwater Partners...

Price Price
$0.255
Owned Owned
Yes

TOP PICK
MegaBrands(MB-T ) 

April 23, 2013

Long Mega Blocks Warrants (MB.WT-T) and Short Mega Blocks (MB-T). A pairs trade. Warrants are composed of 2 parts 1) time value and 2) the intrinsic value (“in the money” value). 2 years ago it was 100% time value because the share price was worth a lot less. Now in the money, the strike price is close to $10 and is currently trading at about $4.75. The warrant is trading at about $0.24.5. You are essentially getting the optionality of the warrants for free.

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Long Mega Blocks Warrants (MB.WT-T) and Short Mega Blocks (MB-T). A pairs trade. Warrants are composed of 2 parts 1) time value and 2) the intrinsic value (“in the money” value). 2 years ago it was 100% time value because the share price was worth a lot less. Now in the money, the strike price is close to $10 and is currently trading at about $4.75. The warrant is trading at about $0.24.5. You are essentially getting the optionality of the warrants for free.

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Jerome Hass

Portfolio , Lightwater Partners...

Price Price
$0.245
Owned Owned
Yes

TOP PICK
MegaBrands(MB-T ) 

April 23, 2013

Long Mega Blocks Warrants (MB.WT-T) and Short Mega Blocks (MB-T). A pairs trade.

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Long Mega Blocks Warrants (MB.WT-T) and Short Mega Blocks (MB-T). A pairs trade.

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Jerome Hass

Portfolio , Lightwater Partners...

Price Price
$14.760
Owned Owned
Yes

BUY
MegaBrands(MB-T ) 

September 24, 2012

Warrants: expire two years from now. They have had problems for years and years but chart is starting to breakout here over the last couple of months. Warrants should cause a tremendous resistance at $10.

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Warrants: expire two years from now. They have had problems for years and years but chart is starting to breakout here over the last couple of months. Warrants should cause a tremendous resistance at $10.

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Larry Berman CF

Chief Inve, ETF Capital Manageme...

Price Price
$9.600
Owned Owned
Unknown

BUY
MegaBrands(MB-T ) 

August 7, 2012

(Market Call Minute) Broken company on the mend. Going to resume their growth pattern.

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(Market Call Minute) Broken company on the mend. Going to resume their growth pattern.

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Fabrice Taylor

Publisher, The President's Club...

Price Price
$7.310
Owned Owned
Yes

DON'T BUY
MegaBrands(MB-T ) 

November 15, 2010

Has been in turn-around mode and did a significant financing that saved them. Very speculative because of so much debt. (He owns some of their debt.)
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Has been in turn-around mode and did a significant financing that saved them. Very speculative because of so much debt. (He owns some of their debt.)
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James Hodgins

Chief Inve, Curvature Hedge Stra...

Price Price
$0.560
Owned Owned
Yes

SELL ON STRENGTH
MegaBrands(MB-T ) 

March 23, 2010

A Fallen angle. A lot of issues with it. Don’t commit new money to it. It was all built around one quarter – Christmas. Not a good earnings profile for most investors. This is not a good recovery player. Sell into strength.
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A Fallen angle. A lot of issues with it. Don’t commit new money to it. It was all built around one quarter – Christmas. Not a good earnings profile for most investors. This is not a good recovery player. Sell into strength.
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Jason Donville

President , Donville Kent Asset ...

Price Price
$0.580
Owned Owned
Unknown

WATCH
MegaBrands(MB-T ) 

February 4, 2010

Toy company that had great success made an acquisition and went bankrupt. Did a massive share issue to recapitalize. At least now they're going to survive. Good company, good products. Very speculative.
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Toy company that had great success made an acquisition and went bankrupt. Did a massive share issue to recapitalize. At least now they're going to survive. Good company, good products. Very speculative.
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Peter Hodson

CEO & Head, 5i Research Inc....

Price Price
$0.600
Owned Owned
Yes

DON'T BUY
MegaBrands(MB-T ) 

August 7, 2009

(Market Call Minute.) Have some major problems. Huge debt load. Revenues were slashed by almost half. Major possibility of bankruptcy.
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(Market Call Minute.) Have some major problems. Huge debt load. Revenues were slashed by almost half. Major possibility of bankruptcy.
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Benj Gallander

President, Contra the Heard Inv...

Price Price
$0.550
Owned Owned
Unknown

BUY
MegaBrands(MB-T ) 

June 26, 2007

A knockoff of Lego. Acquired Roseart about 2 years ago. Company was sued on the death of a child. Got involved and a recall situation. Most of the problems are behind them. Stock trades for a much cheaper multiple than comparable companies.
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A knockoff of Lego. Acquired Roseart about 2 years ago. Company was sued on the death of a child. Got involved and a recall situation. Most of the problems are behind them. Stock trades for a much cheaper multiple than comparable companies.
misc consumer products
0 0 0 0 0
0 comments
Lesley Marks

Vice Presi, Jones Heward Investm...

Price Price
$21.030
Owned Owned
Unknown

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