Spotify Technology (SPOT-N)

One of the stocks that took off this year, because investors love companies based on a subscription model and recurring revenues.

Very rich, 12-month price target of $475. What jumps out for him is the management. Lots of competition, but management has executed extremely well. SONO is a bit cheaper, or even Pandora or Deezer.

Price increases will increase margins and revenue, keep an eye out for any subscriber churn. Recently reported that margins expanded considerably. Valuation too rich. Not a horrible idea to take some profits. Great product and competitive moat.

It reports this week. But it's making new highs today at a high PE. The bar is set high, delivering 19% revenue growth the last two quarters so the next figure must be higher. Free cash flow is building too and that needs to rise too.

Bought it 6 years ago. Great product line, the king of music streaming.

Last week, a few analysts upgraded it. It has pricing power, because it's had no price increases, except one last year from $10 to $11 monthly vs. Netflix by 41% since 2018 and other apps. Also, Spotify earns outside of music including audiobooks and podcasting. 

Profitable. They have the product and content, so their recent price increases will succeed. Their customers are hooked, faithful. Good cash flow and good subscription revenue.

It reports Tuesday. It's a beat-and-raise machine, driven by subscription revenues. Loves this stick revenue.

It reports Tuesday. They just signed Joe Rogan to huge contract. That could signal super numbers when they report.

Over 70% of teens use this service, more twice as much as #2.

Shares plunged 14% after their quarter yesterday, but was up 107% YTD before that report. Puzzling. Climbing subscribers number haven't translated into revenue: more monthly active users, premium subscribers and ad-supported users. 14% revenue growth cs. 27% rise in monthly users. They're struggling to monetize users. Revenue per users are declining. That's why they raised prices last week for the first time. Also, expenses were much higher than expected while free cash flow of 9 million Euros was much lower than the street's 72 million. They're spending like drunken sailors. They missed numbers while expectations were too high. However, they gave excellent guidance for the current quarter. Analysts actually raised price targets. Overall, these are fixable problems, turning users into earnings namely and he likes the stock. Until they do around, there are better stocks to buy like Netflix.

Like MSFT, it just delivered a winning quarter, but investors today were tripping over themselves to find a reason for selling it (down 12%). The market can get it wrong. Sure, SPOT had a little slowdown in monthly users, but the CEO is solid.