Deutsche Bank AG (DB-N) Stock Predictions - Stockchase
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Deutsche Bank AG (DB-N)

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Deutsche Bank AG

DB-N

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Deutsche Bank AG (DB-N) SAVE Mar, 21, 2019, 11:45 pm

8.43 0.35 (3.99%)

About Deutsche Bank AG (DB-N)

Deutsche Bank AG is a German investment bank and financial services company headquartered in Frankfurt, Hesse, Germany. The bank is present in 58 countries with a large presence in Europe, the Americas and Asia. More at Wikipedia

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DON'T BUY
Deutsche Bank AG(DB-N) 

February 22, 2019

This has been a train wreck -- there are better companies out there. They continue to see problems come forward. The only way to see a recovery is if interest rates go up -- something he does not expect soon.
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This has been a train wreck -- there are better companies out there. They continue to see problems come forward. The only way to see a recovery is if interest rates go up -- something he does not expect soon.
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Darren Sissons

Vice Presi, Campbell Lee & Ross...

Price Price
$8.650
Owned Owned
No

DON'T BUY
Deutsche Bank AG(DB-N) 

February 13, 2019

Deustche Bank vs. Barclay's DB is poorly run; he much prefers Barclay's. DB has gone though massive restructuring with many difficulties, still is. They've had a poorly run retail banking business. With their investment bank, they've bought a lot of things without integrating their technology. So, after the 2008 crash, things got very difficult for DB. A lot of their business was in fixed income where a lot of capital is used. Barclay's is in a much better position. They bought Lehman Brothers; has a great retail business; great credit card and superb investment bank businesses. It's run by an ex-JP Morgan buy. DB is a trade at best, while Barclay's will see growth for a while.
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Deustche Bank vs. Barclay's DB is poorly run; he much prefers Barclay's. DB has gone though massive restructuring with many difficulties, still is. They've had a poorly run retail banking business. With their investment bank, they've bought a lot of things without integrating their technology. So, after the 2008 crash, things got very difficult for DB. A lot of their business was in fixed income where a lot of capital is used. Barclay's is in a much better position. They bought Lehman Brothers; has a great retail business; great credit card and superb investment bank businesses. It's run by an ex-JP Morgan buy. DB is a trade at best, while Barclay's will see growth for a while.
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Paul Harris, CF

Portfolio , Avenue Investment Ma...

Price Price
$8.540
Owned Owned
Unknown

PAST TOP PICK
Deutsche Bank AG(DB-N) 

February 1, 2019

(A Top Pick Jun 29/18, Down 17%) They recapitalized and has shrunk to grow. Regulators never hiked rates in Europe like in North America, which was a surprise to him. Now there are no forecasts for rate hikes in North America, which will create further headwinds. You make more money when they are being fined, than during regular course of business. Rumours of merger abound, but he puts no value in that. He is sticking with it.
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(A Top Pick Jun 29/18, Down 17%) They recapitalized and has shrunk to grow. Regulators never hiked rates in Europe like in North America, which was a surprise to him. Now there are no forecasts for rate hikes in North America, which will create further headwinds. You make more money when they are being fined, than during regular course of business. Rumours of merger abound, but he puts no value in that. He is sticking with it.
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Chris Stuchberr

Portfolio , Wellington-Altus Pri...

Price Price
$8.850
Owned Owned
Yes

DON'T BUY
Deutsche Bank AG(DB-N) 

January 17, 2019

Down 47% over last 12 months. No growth in Europe, lawsuits, people leaving, constantly reconfiguring the company. Please avoid this one. (Analysts’ price target is $9.80)
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Down 47% over last 12 months. No growth in Europe, lawsuits, people leaving, constantly reconfiguring the company. Please avoid this one. (Analysts’ price target is $9.80)
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David Driscoll

President , Liberty Internationa...

Price Price
$8.920
Owned Owned
No

DON'T BUY
Deutsche Bank AG(DB-N) 

December 27, 2018

Can it go bankrupt? It was one of the first to see widening credit spreads. They have not been doing well since the crisis. They have been more negatively affected by the change in banking business mix than the rest. Rhetoric around trade is going to ratchet up and down but global trade is still intact.
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Can it go bankrupt? It was one of the first to see widening credit spreads. They have not been doing well since the crisis. They have been more negatively affected by the change in banking business mix than the rest. Rhetoric around trade is going to ratchet up and down but global trade is still intact.
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David Fingold

VP and Por, Dynamic Funds...

Price Price
$7.810
Owned Owned
Unknown

DON'T BUY
Deutsche Bank AG(DB-N) 

October 29, 2018

[Is Europe a bad bet?]  He would broadly stay away from European banks.  They have a limited history as public companies.  Europe is terribly over banked.  He suggests you are better off with an American bank that serves Europe.

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[Is Europe a bad bet?]  He would broadly stay away from European banks.  They have a limited history as public companies.  Europe is terribly over banked.  He suggests you are better off with an American bank that serves Europe.

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David Fingold

VP and Por, Dynamic Funds...

Price Price
$9.640
Owned Owned
No

PAST TOP PICK
Deutsche Bank AG(DB-N) 

August 22, 2018

(A top pick June 29/18, up 9%). They have announced they are going to have higher earnings. Interest rates are going up in Canada, USA, and Bank of England. Thinks rates will also go up in Europe. A lot of room for Deutshe Bank to go higher. Difficult to time these, but you want to be there.

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(A top pick June 29/18, up 9%). They have announced they are going to have higher earnings. Interest rates are going up in Canada, USA, and Bank of England. Thinks rates will also go up in Europe. A lot of room for Deutshe Bank to go higher. Difficult to time these, but you want to be there.

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Chris Stuchberr

Portfolio , Wellington-Altus Pri...

Price Price
$11.610
Owned Owned
Yes

DON'T BUY
Deutsche Bank AG(DB-N) 

August 7, 2018

Worst performing of the European banks, down 31% YTD. Have to attend to restructuring, and interest rates not rising in Europe. Commercial lending and wealth management are fine, but everything else is stagnant. This one is the bottom of the barrel. Haven’t caught up from problems in 2008. Dividend cut. High risk, lower return.

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Worst performing of the European banks, down 31% YTD. Have to attend to restructuring, and interest rates not rising in Europe. Commercial lending and wealth management are fine, but everything else is stagnant. This one is the bottom of the barrel. Haven’t caught up from problems in 2008. Dividend cut. High risk, lower return.

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David Driscoll

President , Liberty Internationa...

Price Price
$12.620
Owned Owned
No

PAST TOP PICK
Deutsche Bank AG(DB-N) 

July 18, 2018

(Past Top Pick, August 24, 2017, Down 25%) He's stayed in this and even added more. He misjudged the turn in European banking, then DB bank fired its CEO. It will do well when the European banks do well, which happens when interest rates will stop being negative, normalize and break-out. Stay the course.

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(Past Top Pick, August 24, 2017, Down 25%) He's stayed in this and even added more. He misjudged the turn in European banking, then DB bank fired its CEO. It will do well when the European banks do well, which happens when interest rates will stop being negative, normalize and break-out. Stay the course.

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Rick Stuchberry

Portfolio , Wellington-Altus Pri...

Price Price
$12.080
Owned Owned
Yes

TOP PICK
Deutsche Bank AG(DB-N) 

June 29, 2018

You don’t look at this as a short term holding.  It is the main bank of Germany and it is too big to fail.  Everything that could go wrong has – interest rates have gone up, quantitative easing has weakened and now the US regulatory agencies have accused them of being under funded.  However, the value has fallen so far it is too good to pass up for a long term holding.  Yield 1.2%.  (Analysts’ price target is $12.34)

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You don’t look at this as a short term holding.  It is the main bank of Germany and it is too big to fail.  Everything that could go wrong has – interest rates have gone up, quantitative easing has weakened and now the US regulatory agencies have accused them of being under funded.  However, the value has fallen so far it is too good to pass up for a long term holding.  Yield 1.2%.  (Analysts’ price target is $12.34)

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Chris Stuchberr

Portfolio , Wellington-Altus Pri...

Price Price
$10.620
Owned Owned
Yes

WEAK BUY
Deutsche Bank AG(DB-N) 

May 11, 2018

The issue is they have not recovered from issues in the US and the global 2008 financial crisis.  The CEO has just been replaced.  The problem is regulators have forced banks to get out of higher margins business.  The Trump Administration has helped reverse some of this.  If you have a multi-year hold this could be interesting. 

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The issue is they have not recovered from issues in the US and the global 2008 financial crisis.  The CEO has just been replaced.  The problem is regulators have forced banks to get out of higher margins business.  The Trump Administration has helped reverse some of this.  If you have a multi-year hold this could be interesting. 

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Darren Sissons

Vice Presi, Campbell Lee & Ross...

Price Price
$13.860
Owned Owned
No

PAST TOP PICK
Deutsche Bank AG(DB-N) 

April 23, 2018

(A Top Pick Jun 9/17, Down 19%)  They are on their second turnaround team.  The assets are good.  It is a bank that went through 2008 and will not fail but we had to wait a long time.  This one is the problem child in Europe.  He has not sold it and will give them a couple more quarters.

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(A Top Pick Jun 9/17, Down 19%)  They are on their second turnaround team.  The assets are good.  It is a bank that went through 2008 and will not fail but we had to wait a long time.  This one is the problem child in Europe.  He has not sold it and will give them a couple more quarters.

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Rick Stuchberry

Portfolio , Wellington-Altus Pri...

Price Price
$14.250
Owned Owned
Yes

DON'T BUY
Deutsche Bank AG(DB-N) 

April 10, 2018

He would stay away from it. They are mostly focused on lines of business that are shrinking. For example, they do a large business in writing letters of credit, but international trade has been shrinking, as a percentage of GDP, for years. Deglobalization started in 2010/2011 has been happening for years, since Accenture concluded that offshoring probably cost money rather than saving money. There is now a trend of nearshoring: jobs are coming home because costs are lower here. You don’t need letters of credit when you are moving within a region. Also, they face capital strain under Basil III. They were a very significant underwriter of mortgage-backed securities. Sub-Prime and Alt-A products basically don’t exist any more, so Deutsche Bank no longer offers that mix of products; it is now marketing a low-margin product. A recent report from JP Morgan can be summarized as “They should shut their New York branch and go home.” They have been severely impacted by Tax Reform and their financing in the US appears to be high cost.

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He would stay away from it. They are mostly focused on lines of business that are shrinking. For example, they do a large business in writing letters of credit, but international trade has been shrinking, as a percentage of GDP, for years. Deglobalization started in 2010/2011 has been happening for years, since Accenture concluded that offshoring probably cost money rather than saving money. There is now a trend of nearshoring: jobs are coming home because costs are lower here. You don’t need letters of credit when you are moving within a region. Also, they face capital strain under Basil III. They were a very significant underwriter of mortgage-backed securities. Sub-Prime and Alt-A products basically don’t exist any more, so Deutsche Bank no longer offers that mix of products; it is now marketing a low-margin product. A recent report from JP Morgan can be summarized as “They should shut their New York branch and go home.” They have been severely impacted by Tax Reform and their financing in the US appears to be high cost.

banks
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David Fingold

VP and Por, Dynamic Funds...

Price Price
$14.080
Owned Owned
No

COMMENT
Deutsche Bank AG(DB-N) 

April 4, 2018

Rising interest rates will benefit large banks. Their CEO changed through a disastrous period, but DB has since recovered. Caveat: big banks may raise their dividends slower than the smaller global banks.

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Rising interest rates will benefit large banks. Their CEO changed through a disastrous period, but DB has since recovered. Caveat: big banks may raise their dividends slower than the smaller global banks.

banks
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Darren Sissons

Vice Presi, Campbell Lee & Ross...

Price Price
$13.880
Owned Owned
Unknown

DON'T BUY
Deutsche Bank AG(DB-N) 

March 28, 2018

Down 30% in 2018. They've been cost-cutting, selling assets and fired the CEO. Also, US banks are enjoying interest rate hikes, but not Europe's banks because interest rates aren't moving. DB  doesn't have a model for good capital allocation and its underwriting is not great. Net interest income growth was -15% last year. Poor earnings in last quarter. You're speculating on this as a turnaround play. Risky. Other banks are safer.

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Down 30% in 2018. They've been cost-cutting, selling assets and fired the CEO. Also, US banks are enjoying interest rate hikes, but not Europe's banks because interest rates aren't moving. DB  doesn't have a model for good capital allocation and its underwriting is not great. Net interest income growth was -15% last year. Poor earnings in last quarter. You're speculating on this as a turnaround play. Risky. Other banks are safer.

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David Driscoll

President , Liberty Internationa...

Price Price
$13.760
Owned Owned
Unknown

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