A Comment -- General Comments From an Expert (A Commentary)

COMMENT
Market outlook. Not a strategy that he follows, but this May it may be a strategy to follow. They have been pressing equities a lot. Still very bullish and markets are getting cheaper since earnings have gotten up. That being said, we are seeing some technical resistance, higher tax propositions and all that together makes market more tough. If you have indices that are near highs, he would peel back from them and look at specific equity allocations.
COMMENT
Reopening. The reopening stories was a question of balance sheet drip. With the vaccines and reopening happens concretely, you have to own them. You just have to buy them at the proper technical levels. These will probably more active positions, but when the tape is weak, he is buying them.
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Commodities. The commodities rally probably has more legs. People are misjudging pent-up demand and the impact of stimulus. The key player in commodities is China. Copper has been trading sloppy since the Chinese policy makers pronounced on the issue. You have to buy and sell at the right time. This will change if China decides to dig its heels in.
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Billy Kawasaki’s Insights - Billy’s most-liked answers from 5i Research. With reopening, transportation could be a good theme to invest in. It usually does well during an economic recovery. Companies like TFII, CJT, CP and MTL will be beneficiaries. Unlock Premium - Try 5i Free

COMMENT
It would be amazing if we could talk about stocks and not cryptos all the time, but it won't happen. We're seeing a slow-motion crypto collapse. The easy money in crypto has been made as Bitcoin has plunged. However, nothing is stopping anyone from creating a new crypto.
COMMENT
Easy to find growth stocks at a decent price? He has a portfolio full of growth stocks that are still priced well enough to go forward with. A bit of both tech and cyclicals. The large social media type tech stocks are still very reasonably priced with 20% growth going forward. The general economy is opening up, and there are opportunities almost everywhere. Be careful of valuations, as well as short-term concerns over inflation. Once the building boom is over and commodity prices catch up, these concerns should settle down.
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Too early for airlines and hotels? No, he owns both. He just chose not to recommend them for today's top picks, as they're not at the core of what he does.
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$75K to put into a TFSA. He'd put it in 7 stocks to diversify. AMZN, MSFT, 1-2 of the Canadian banks, 1 of the railroads (or AC if you're more aggressive), a class oil company like CNQ or TOU, and a world-class global healthcare company that's into robotic surgery or PFE that will raise its dividend nicely. That presents a nice mix.
COMMENT
Markets. All-time highs earlier this month, and now we've pulled back by 4-5%. Totally normal, happens around 3x a year. Consensus global GDP of 6% for 2021 provides a good backdrop for stocks. That would be the strongest annual economic expansion since 1980. In 2022, expecting 4% growth. Vaccination numbers are growing around the world. Declining number of cases will provide a good backdrop. Volatility is due to inflation concerns and digesting gains so far this year.
COMMENT
Today's market weakness. Inflation concerns started last week with the surge in the US CPI. This is transitory. An economic restart is not the same as a normal business cycle recovery. Supply bottlenecks plus pent-up demand are combining to push prices materially higher. Inflation won't go back to zero, but spike in inflation is temporary. Usually, we see demand slowly capture supply, but they're neck and neck right now.
COMMENT

Airline stocks. Airline stocks are high beta, very volatile. Travel numbers are getting back to pre-pandemic levels. He owns AC. To mitigate single-name risk, you could look at the JETS etf, with 70% of names in the US. If you're OK with the volatility, these are good medium-longer term investments.

COMMENT
Focus for the economic recovery. He's not necessarily looking for more torque. He wants names that are more sensitive to the economy. In the early stages of a recovery, you want to be in cyclicals like energy, materials, industrials, and financials. It's not the right time for consumer staples.
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Rotation from tech to value. YTD, the S&P performance has tech at the bottom of the 11 sectors, while energy and financials are at the top. Tech has done well the last 3-4 years, but now there's a move out of it.
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Billy Kawasaki’s Insights - Billy’s most-liked answers from 5i Research. Commodities will probably continue to run from weakened US dollar and increased demand. The reopening will bring demand. This might change once we transition out of COVID induced imbalances in demand and supply. Interest rates rising, the US dollar strengthening or economic slowdown will put an end to this quickly. Unlock Premium - Try 5i Free

COMMENT
Today's slide was a victory for rational investing, as Bitcoin tanked. He disagrees with wealth manager Cathy Wood that cryptos will come back, that Elon Musk will come back to them. Today was a banner day for investing, not speculating.
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