Stockchase Opinions

Jim Huang Sleep Country Canada ZZZ-T BUY Jan 30, 2019

He's recommended it before. There's been a malaise in the North American mattress space (i.e. Sears going under). They continue to do well online and will continue to grow their market share.
$20.930

Stock price when the opinion was issued

household goods
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PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Nov 30/17, Down 37%) The 2018 earnings have kept pace, the valuation multiples have simply collapsed. They trade at 7.3 times EBITDA versus historical levels of 11 times. They still see new store openings, maybe not with the same growth rate. Housing has slowed, which may slow sales. Still a great bet and very cheap. If he had new money, he would be buying.
SELL
Reporting soon. Last results were not good. Negative sentiment in Canada because of high debt levels. Sold her position. New products have higher margins, so that contributed to growth. But that's slowed down. Not loving it here. (Analysts’ price target is $30.19)
DON'T BUY
He never understood its story when it came out. It did very well initially but has come back to earth. He's never owned it nor would. He'd sell it, based on weak results (negative same-store sales growth).
BUY
They announced results about 3 weeks ago and same store sales were down shockingly, yet the stock price did not drop materially -- he sees that as good support. The multiples are now more reasonable -- trading under 12 times earnings. He would be a buyer now. Yield 4.2%.
DON'T BUY
He has looked at it many times over the years and has found it quite pricy. They reached a saturation point in the market. The stock is not reflecting high growth days going forward.
DON'T BUY
A dividend play? No. Their sales have struggled lately, and why do they have so many stores? They could rebound, and they have consolidated stores, but no reason to enter it.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Aug 23/18, Down 31%) A victim of sentiment and they reported a couple of soft earnings quarters. Still opening new stores. A huge contraction in the PE multiple from 18 down to 11.5 times. It could be bought here. Yield 3.8%
HOLD
He has liked this stock for some time. They disappointed analysts last year and that is now behind them. You should start to see very good year over year comparisons. The multiple got traded down into 12 times earnings. As the comparisons improve he expects the multiple to improve taking the stock back to the mid-$30s share price. It may be by the end of next year. Yield 3.6%
DON'T BUY
A great one to buy at the height of Covid. This has come back with a vengeance. Amazing Q4 report and the housing market is on fire. Factors lined up for ZZZ. They've managed debt well. It's a one-product business, though, so keep that in mind and don't pay a big PE. Their growth will follow wider economic growth rates. Also, competition has heated up a lot.