Larry Berman CFA, CMT, CTA BMO S&P/TSX Eq.Wt. Global Gold ZGD-T COMMENT Feb 23, 2015

Equally weighted gold in the world. A great way to play the sector. Thinks we will get a double bottom in gold at $1175.00. If we break that then you get a sell signal. It may go 10% lower.

When gold was testing $1050 he would say yes, but we have had the strongest rally in gold in several years. He thinks we will peak out at $1300 this cycle.

Seasonal play? He wouldn’t say this is a seasonal play. One of the reasons people likes gold is that it is often negatively correlated to other asset classes, and does particularly well at a time of real and perceived insurrection.

A month ago it was his favourite sector. Gold plays had 40-50% upside but we have come off the lows. He now sees nothing with potential of 20-40% upside other than gold.

XGD and ZGD are the Canadian go-to names. ZGD is equal weight, so the big caps don't run the show.

In the US, he likes GDX or GDXJ (for the juniors).

Adding equities to your gold holdings adds in equity beta, so this can add leverage to the gold price both upward and downward. MER is 6 bps. Gold is a historical hedge during periods of heightened geopolitical risk. Central banks remain buyers of gold. Thinks gold price goes higher.

Wants equal weight, as large caps tend to have less leverage to the price of gold than either small caps or the juicy mid caps. Good, diversified way to start entering the sector.