Larry Berman CFA, CMT, CTA
BMO S&P/TSX Eq.Wt. Global Gold
ZGD-T
STRONG BUY
Oct 22, 2018
A month ago it was his favourite sector. Gold plays had 40-50% upside but we have come off the lows. He now sees nothing with potential of 20-40% upside other than gold.
Equally weighted gold in the world. A great way to play the sector. Thinks we will get a double bottom in gold at $1175.00. If we break that then you get a sell signal. It may go 10% lower.
5-10k shares per day volume. He went in last November and bought a million shares. The market maker created the units, so the value traded does not matter. The individual investor needs to trade at least 50k shares to have the market maker create units and you have to call the market maker.
When gold was testing $1050 he would say yes, but we have had the strongest rally in gold in several years. He thinks we will peak out at $1300 this cycle.
Seasonal play? He wouldn’t say this is a seasonal play. One of the reasons people likes gold is that it is often negatively correlated to other asset classes, and does particularly well at a time of real and perceived insurrection.
KL-T He loves gold as an asset class, and he expects a 20% swing upward in 6-12 months. KL has performed well, but he prefers diversification instead of a specific gold stock, like the ZGD-T ETF.
Depending on the vectors you want exposure to, these are his favourite ways to play the gold sector. He believes the world will be in a low interest rate environment for years to come. Gold will outperform.
A month ago it was his favourite sector. Gold plays had 40-50% upside but we have come off the lows. He now sees nothing with potential of 20-40% upside other than gold.