Stockchase Opinions

Larry Berman CFA, CMT, CTA BMO EQUAL WEIGHT BANKS INDEX ETF ZEB-T BUY ON WEAKNESS Jul 21, 2014

Equally weighted bank ETF. ZEB-T is the better way to get in. He would be patient until this ETF gets to the $21 area because he expects a pull back. Step aside. There is lots of volatility short term.

$23.630

Stock price when the opinion was issued

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BUY

Basket of Canadian banks, equal weight, no covered call. One-year return is 13.3%. Whereas the ZWB, which applies a covered call strategy, has a one-year return of 9.1%

BUY

Great option to get exposure to Canadian banks. Excellent option for long term investors. 

BUY
ZEB vs. ZWB

Equal weight of the 6 Canadian banks. Very simple, fees have been cut. Over the long haul, outperforms ZWB. ZWB gives you more yield in the present, but diminishes upside participation in a growth market.

To choose, he asks clients about yield requirements and time horizon.

HOLD

Good long-term hold for the past 20 years, even through all the ups and downs of markets.

BUY

Banks in general are entering a normal level. Concerns about high interest rates and defaults are mostly in the past. Banks are good to hold here if you want some dividend-paying stocks. This one has a good strategy, holding the banks in equal weight.

COMMENT

The caller's question was on which of these ETF's to buy for a start-up portfolio for his 20-year-old daughter. He prefers more sectors to be covered in this situation so he suggested XEI. There are more multi-asset solutions as well. He also suggested lowering the risk tolerance for a beginner investor.

BUY

Basket of Canadian banks, no covered call. Past year's total return is nearly 14%. As well, better return over 3 years than ZWB.

Over the past year, total return for ZWB was ~9.5%.

BUY

Because there's no covered call strategy, if we get into a bull market you get full advantage of the upside. Upside hasn't been "called away" to provide an income stream. Perhaps lower income, but more capital appreciation along the way.

COMMENT

Just the Canadian banks, no options, so will participate fully in a market rise.

BUY
education segment on covered-call ETFs

They're popular, because people want the extra yield, but they work only in some environments. Better when you expects markets to go down for 6-12 months (a correction). In rapid declines, like Covid, you get only some protection. But in a strong market, you give you the upside and lag the market a lot. Just owning ZEB since 2011, you would have made 10.71% annualized; ZWB 8.34%. So, use ZWB defensively at some point after a correction, say 10% or 15% down. Use ZEB in a strong rally. During strong declines, both ETFs fall roughly the same, but during the recent strong rally, ZEB was 16.98% and ZWB 14.85%.