Stockchase Opinions

Mike PhilbrickiShares DEX Short Term BondXSB.TOTOP PICKNov 15, 2022

The Canadian short-term bond index, really. A very old ETF. It holds investment-grade bonds from the government and large companies and the companies won't default. Safe. This plays defence. It won't make a lot of money. Yields 2%, MER 1%.
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As of May 29, 2026. Market Open.

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COMMENT
Two years to retirement. RRSP is almost 100% equities. Fixed income ETF to lower the risk and provide monthly cash?

This short-term corporate bond index gives you a laddered approach to fixed income. BMO also has one.

But with just a little bit of work you can look through those ETFs, see the holdings, and structure your own portfolio to meet your needs. Say in Year 1 of retirement, you think you'll need $50k. So you buy $50k of a 1-year corporate bond. And you get a high-quality bond without paying the costs of the ETF. For the average person, that's not actually a huge amount of work to do.

BUY

Buy bonds for some sort of safety in a portfolio, and also as a counterweight during growth shocks. With those shocks, stocks tend to go down and bonds tend to go up. The higher a bond is in the capital structure (such as a government bond), the better it does.

See his Top Picks, but if you want to go shorter try this ETF. Yield is in the 3% range.

BUY
Capital preservation via fixed income.

Likely that interest rates are coming down. BOC overnight lending rate is 2.75% right now and headed lower. Short-duration bonds are just going to yield less and less, and you can't enhance that yield without taking on more risk. More risk involves either extending bond duration or buying lower credit quality (and that's a big risk with markets the way they are today). Yield spreads widen when we get volatility. When a low-quality bond starts to yield more, that means its price goes down. 

So he likes the short-duration aspect of this ETF. He's used it himself for cash management. You won't make the kind of returns you made in the past. To get a higher yield, you may want to diversify into preferred shares or some very high-quality equities.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Nov 15/22, Up 4%)

Look at your portfolio and make sure you're balanced appropriately. Do you have enough fixed income? If a 20% decline in the TSX or S&P, how does that make you feel? Still likes it as first line of defense in portfolio diversification.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Nov 15/22, Up 0.3%)

Last November it was about being cautious and taking advantage of short-term rates. We're in a new world, getting 4-5% in safe T-bills. This was about being safe and getting cash while sitting and waiting.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jan 22/20, Down 1%) Not the best returns, but better than pure aggregate bond exposure with its 7-8 year durations.
COMMENT
XSB, ZUB, NRGI. For the U.S. he recommends a more integrated portfolio approach such as XUM. Seek a low volatility portfolio in case of growth shock which is bad for banks and oil and gas
BUY

Some bond ETFs. Can invest $50K It's fine. It holds quality short-term bonds. both federal and provincial. He's owned this many times. He doesn't know ZCS. Also consider ZAG which holds short-, mid- and long-term bonds. If rates stay flat or decline, ZAG will do well. If you have $50K, buy two or three of these ETFs to spread the risk. Check the duration and credit rating of each.

BUY

Some bond ETFs. Can invest $50K Also consider ZAG which holds short-, mid- and long-term bonds. If rates stay flat or decline, ZAG will do well. If you have $50K, buy two or three of these ETFs to spread the risk. Check the duration and credit rating of each.

BUY
XSB is a basket of mostly investment grade corporate bonds. 44 basis points expense ratio. Vanguard and BMO also both offer strategies.
BUY
A short-term bond ETF, low risk? XSB is fine, though it pays only a 2.3% yield. It's okay to park cash in this, holding government and corporate bonds. But you can go long to get a pick-up, as long you don't see rates rising. Also consider AGG-T.
TOP PICK
One of the largest and cheapest bond ETFs in Canada. The duration is just over 2 years. He thinks the short term duration are much lower risk. MER 0.17% Yield 2.38%
COMMENT

The fixed income of people's portfolios is severely impaired. In this ETF the distribution is the coupon earned and not the yield to maturity. The distribution is higher. He would prefer short term corporate bonds, XCB-T.

BUY
What vehicle to park cash? Any money market funds and short-term ETFs. Don't buy a bond ETF, but rather something under three years--you're not paid more by going longer. Stay short like XSB-T. Charges a very low MER.