Stockchase Opinions

The Panic-Proof Portfolio (Stockchase Research) SPDR Consumer Staples ETF XLP-N PAST TOP PICK May 19, 2022

(A Top Pick Mar 31/22, Down 5.5%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly Our PAST TOP PICK with XLP has triggered its stop at $72. To remain disciplined, we recommend covering the position at this time. This will result in a net investment loss of 1%, when considering the previous buy recommendation.
$71.115

Stock price when the opinion was issued

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TOP PICK
Defensive. Seasonal strength is October, so he'd look to hold this for the next couple of months. Expense ratio: 0.10%.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Aug 31/22, Up 1%) Defensives performed well when he recommended it last August and outperformed in 2022. We saw a rotation out of tech into staples, but now there's a downtrend for staples. Staples were great last year, but not now. Investors want high-beta cyclicals and technology. Return to staples in April.
BUY

He expects a recession later this year, so you want to own consumer staples, things that people need to get them through a recession. These stocks have solid balance sheets and pay good dividends.

TOP PICK

Consumer staples, a.k.a., "boring business" models performing well.
Current price is demanding a premium, but investors willing to pay.
Excellent way to get exposure to consumer staples.
Good time of the year to buy "defensive names".

TOP PICK

Owning staples is good for a volatile market. This ETF holds classic staples, is coming off a sideways range, and is a good place to hold money through the summer and also for recessionary times and lower markets. There are no big gains or losses but it is predictable and he knows where to sell it since he has traded it many many times. Familiarity with trading the same stocks frequently is important. It is also very liquid.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jun 26/23, Up 2%)

Boring is good and now is not a good time to hold a lot of beta. It's rangebound with a $78 ceiling. Staples do okay in the summer. Will sell it in the fall.

BUY

We'll continue to see the consumer transition away from discretionary to staples. And there will be brand power in staples.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick May 05/23, Down 11%)

Rising interest rates have hurt all sectors except tech. Staples didn't find relief. Rather, investors stayed in tech and didn't buy staples. XLP's chart has been rangebound for the last 2 years, but he expects a bounce because investors this time of year barbell their portfolios to reduce risk.

TOP PICK

Has moved out of J&J into  this product. Believes fundamentals good for consumer staples. Chart indicating a bounce off the low. Chart indicating room to grow. Would recommend investing. 

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Nov 10/23, Up 4%)

Will continue to hold. Likes direction of chart. Consumer staples do well regardless of direction of economy. Believes still upside left in stock.