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Visa Inc.VDON'T BUYJan 26, 2026Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 12, 2026. Market Open.
An unassailable fortress for a long time. Fintech and card companies have been weak, with concerns about disruptive digital payment systems. Near-term uncertainty about long-term profitability.
Pretty dominant position. Still trading above long-term moving average. Lagging in this market. Not well inflation-protected. Put your focus elsewhere.
He's out. Momentum has broken. Price is now below 200-day MA, and that's rolling over. Secular growth drivers are still there, for about 14% earnings growth at 23x PE. But it's more about valuation right now. If you think of it as technology, investors are seeing a lot more exciting names out there.
When technicals improve, he'd look at it again.
They reported a strong quarter with 9% volume growth. People are spending. Even if prices rise, Visa still makes money. Other areas are growing and amount to 30%, such as merchants hiring Visa to do marketing services cybersecurity fraud prevention. Also, there's room to expand to many parts of the world still using cash.
(Analysts’ price target is $403.54)Still one of the cleanest business models in global markets, and one of the most powerful. No credit risk; simply sits at the centre of global commerce and collect fees on each transaction. Still in a shift from cash to digital payments.
Double-digit revenue growth, earnings ahead of expectations, continued resilience in consumer spending. Even in this time of uncertain economic risk, payment volumes remain strong and that highlights its durable business model.
High-quality compounder, scale, pricing power, long runway for growth. Ranks 10/10 on fundamentals. Yield is 0.81%.
Grows revenue at 12% clip, and EPS faster than that. Unlevered balance sheet. Trading at 10-year low on valuation. Despite perceived threats, every right to win in the agentic world.
At worst it will be AI-neutral, at best AI will be incremental to the runway. As movement of $$ increases, Visa tends to get paid. There is real risk from the interbank clearing system, but there's no better place than Visa if you want credentials and high levels of trust. Yield is 0.85%.
Theory is that with agentic AI, we don't need V for payment rails anymore. For the past decade, has grown at 10-11% on revenue and that's expected to continue. Trading at a discount to its history, yet business is as robust as ever. Long-term hold. Yield is 0.90%.
(Analysts’ price target is $403.34)
First-rate operation. As a value investor, not attracted to it simply because of the multiple (always high). Not surprised by recent flat performance -- it could just be stock price catching up to the multiple. As earnings grow, you may eventually get a margin of safety.
As global economy and GDP increase, and as inflation keeps at its clip, the nominal value of sales will go up. That will benefit a company like Visa. People will be spending more $$, and Visa takes a percentage of every dollar.
Concerns on earnings and its moat. Wondering if some erosion in the moat to fintech competitors (slowly now, but accelerating). So high PE may no longer be justified.