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Union Pacific CorpUNPBUYJan 02, 2026Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 16, 2026. Market Open.
Right now the US economy is doing better, so this stock's started to pick up again from April lows. But not shooting the lights out. This rail hauls agricultural, auto, and chemical products.
Biggest challenge is what are these railroads carrying? CNR has suffered in Canada because it's one of the largest shippers of vehicles, and tariffs are causing issues. Economy will drive how well the rails do. They've been going sideways, and there's no catalyst right now. If you want to buy now, you'll need to be patient.
They just reported: revenues beat though flat for the year, costs are under control, and they beat earnings. Total volumes were up, including fertilizer up 15%, and industrial chemicals 7%. Their report was better than CSX, though guidance was guarded and mixed, including a muted first half of 2024. It's good to buy now.
A more attractive choice than CNR, if you don't mind expanding beyond the Canadian sandbox. Purchase of NSC makes it really interesting, merging into a trans-continental railroad with lots of cost savings and synergies. Good upside if the merger goes through.