Daniel Straus
Sprott Uranium Physical Trust
U.UN-T
RISKY
Dec 06, 2023
Not actually ETFs. At the centre of a firestorm whether uranium is being hoarded by financial services. A way to get uranium exposure.
Be careful with the alphabet soup of ETF suffixes when placing your trades, especially on the TSX. Sometimes it can mean USD series or currency hedged, but it's not consistent.
Cameco question Sprott Uranium Physical Trust (U.UN-T which he owns) which buys spot uranium which Sprott recently took over and recently raised $300 million in an at-the-market offering in order to buy spot uranium. This is an illiquid market, so spot uranium is a self-fulfilling price move. Utilities will get caught short on this move. He doesn't like Cameco because it's expensive, volatile with spotty earnings. Balance sheet is fine, but missed its last quarter. The stock has moved up with the price of spot uranium. Watch the uranium move, which is in its early days, but he prefers U.UN itself.
Exchange traded product, but can trade away from NAV. Largest physical Uranium investment fund. A.I. and tech will require a lot of energy. Traditional energy sources not able to provide enough energy supply. Nuclear technology getting better - will be source of energy going forward.
Given current global uncertainty following the recent US election and events in Europe, holding commodities are a good hedge at the moment. U.UN holds physical uranium that is unencumbered and fully allocated. We recommend setting a stop-loss at $20, looking to achieve $32 -- upside potential of 18%. Yield 0%
The thesis around a potential uranium shortage to generate electricity is still real. Difference is this is the spot market, whereas the longer-dated futures market is what matters and it's at 17-year highs. This situation will reconcile. Be patient.
Uranium stocks have been pulling back since November, before the market started to correct. Technically in the near term, they're all broken. Long-term picture is excellent. Don't add here, until you see something change for the better.
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Not actually ETFs. At the centre of a firestorm whether uranium is being hoarded by financial services. A way to get uranium exposure.
Be careful with the alphabet soup of ETF suffixes when placing your trades, especially on the TSX. Sometimes it can mean USD series or currency hedged, but it's not consistent.