Opinions
David Burrows
Take-Two Interactive Softwar
TTWO-Q
BUY ON WEAKNESS
Sep 21, 2017
$101.720
Stock price when the opinion was issued
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COMMENT
His favourite videogame stock for ages. It reported good numbers--top and bottom decent beats--but cautious guidance on Monday; a couple of major releases are delayed. The stock got crushed this week, from $173 to $157 today. This has bottomed before, so it may come back again.
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BUY
Allan Tong’s Discover Picks Speaking of Take Two, its shares dipped 8.7% a week after issuing its report earlier this month. TTWO is expanding its mobile catalogue after recently buying Socialpoint, Playdots and Nordeus. Its WWE SuperCard is its current top mobile game at over 24 million downloads. TTWO beat earnings, but didn’t change its outlook when the street was expecting an upgrade. Hence, the sell-off. However, TTWO’s PE stands at 28.6x while EA’s is precisely twice as much. Then again, Take Two pays no dividend and the company is losing market share. Despite the drop in share price, the street hasn’t changed its 16 buys since that quarterly report (plus five holds and one sell signal). The price target is $213.57 or 33% upside. Read 3 Growing Tech Stocks for our full analysis.
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BUY
Allan Tong’s Discover Picks TTWO shares have risen above their 50- and 200-day moving averages. Momentum is strong. Shares soared last fall before turning bumpy this winter until the Microsoft news. TTWO has beaten its last four quarters. Its most recent EPS of $4.84 is up 17.06% in the past year. Gross and profit margins (66.04% and 16.72%) score higher than the industry norm, though ROE of 17.69% is lower than average in the recreational products space. Altogether, the street sees more than 15% upside to $201.93, based on 11 buys and three holds. Game on. Read 3 Promising Reopening Stocks 2022 for our full analysis.
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TOP PICK
Video game publisher. He likes entertainment as a theme because in periods of economic uncertainty, it becomes clear how much value you can get from streaming. Crown jewel is Rockstar Games. Makes 10/10 games almost every time. We're about a year away from Grand Theft Auto 6, which could be the biggest entertainment property ever. Upside on pricing and # of units sold.
Trades at 30x PE. His price target is $340. No dividend.
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It rallied from $10 to $100. This is a great sector. It has gone through this transition over the last number of years. Now you buy extra weapons and tools on line with real money. He does not think it is over yet. He would average his way into something like this. He owns three of these in a basket. He would buy any of the three. It has a PE of 25 but is a highly predictable business model.