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Sino-Forest Corp (TRE.TO)

WEAK BUY
Commodity prices in this sector are still under pressure. Cheap. Starting to warm up to the sector.
DON'T BUY
Below its 200 day moving average. A weak stock that is not really looked at by institutions.
BUY
The stock is turning around. Had built a wonderful base to the end of '02 and then a rise up to $7. This was followed by profit taking so the stock reversed in '04. Then had an accumulation period followed by another leg. It's above its 200 day moving average.
TOP PICK
Paper and forest industry has been very difficult. Likes this one because of its exposure to China. Very cheap at 5 X earnings. The company has had the opportunity to buy more plantations allowing them to increase their production.
BUY
Settled down in March and did some base building. Moved above its 200 day moving average. All the indicators are positive.
TOP PICK
A cheap stock at 5 X next year's earnings. Has ahd a 20% increase in EPS over the last year.
DON'T BUY
Nothing wrong with the company but managament has done a very poor job of communications to shareholders and the investment community.
BUY
Positive on the stock. Has been volatile. A growth story. Stock is extremely cheap at 6 X forward earnings.
HOLD
Not a bad company, but they have terrible shareholder relations. Trading at about 4 X earnings.
BUY
Had recommended it when it was $5/6. Still likes the story. Cheap.
DON'T BUY
Has been successful in the market and controversial. Doesn't like the risk of dealing with unknowns.
DON'T BUY
Had a wonderful up-leg in 2003 but in early 2004, fundamental problems started to come in, so had quite a negative selloff. It's probably getting to the point where some support should come in but a lot of the excitement on the stock is now history.
DON'T BUY
Have to be cautious as they just diluted their shareholders by issuing 35 million shares. Talk about how much $ they'll make from harvesting trees but spent 70 million on new trees and only got 50 million in in revenues. Suspicious.
WEAK BUY
Terrible at public-relations and bad at getting their story out so the price is down. Profits are very strong. Prospects in China are very good.
PAST TOP PICK
(A past top pick Mar 1/04. Down 53%.) Right after this was chosen, they came out with a share issue which was dilutive and an analyst questioned the value of the forests. Holding waiting for quarterly results and what the new share issue will mean.
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