Stock price when the opinion was issued
TPZ is forecasted to double it's EPS in 2024 while seeing revenue growth of 4%. TPZ's recent quarterly earnings displayed solid growth while the company continues to be heavily tied to commodity pricing. We think TPZ is fine to hold for income as it pays a good dividend yield at 6.6%, but the payout ratio is quite high compared with the sector. The outlook and strong recent quarter display positively for short-term growth, but we think that there are better options for long-term potential. TPZ is also trading at a very expensive valuation versus other peer companies.
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Half of its portfolio is royalties from infrastructure and the other half is royalties from the best companies and best plays in Canada. It owns the land associated with these royalties. It has high free cash flow and pays a high dividend of 6% giving it stability. It should trade around $30. The energy sector is finally lifting but needs more stability in oil prices. He feels the price can stay in the $75 to $80 range for the longer term.
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We like TPZ for an income play as it pays a good dividend yield of 5.4%, generates good free cash flow, and does not have too much debt. Its balance sheet is strong, forward sales and earnings estimates point towards high growth rates, and overall we would be comfortable with this name for a long-term dividend name, although, it has seen a nice run recently, and we would expect a period of consolidation.
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It is part infrastructure and part royalty which is a good combination. It is well run and you could continue to hold. He owns this space in other ways.