Stockchase Opinions

Robert Lauzon Topaz Energy TPZ-T PAST TOP PICK Apr 10, 2023

(A Top Pick May 10/22, Down 10%)

The company was spun off from Tourmaline. Its royalties come mostly from oil but some come from gas too which has brought the stock price down. A good time to buy now that it is below $20. Receives royalties from Tourmaline.

$19.150

Stock price when the opinion was issued

0
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BUY
Company does not have to worry about inflation of service costs (royalty business). Royalty business benefiting from rise in energy prices. Very strong business with excellent prospects and strong management.
BUY

Likes prospects of company. Spinout from Tourmaline Oil & Gas. Very attractive valuation given current share price. Not much debt on the balance sheet. Lots of room to grow. 6% dividend yield and good management team.

BUY

Performed quite well, good yield, management seems quite strong. A promising and strong space. Good one to consider if you want income from the oil/gas space.

BUY

Excellent company with high quality management.
Current share price a good place to buy.
Continues to rise revenues.
Royalties on excellent acreage.
Expects dividend to grow.

BUY ON WEAKNESS
Trevor Rose’s Insights - Trevor’s most-liked answers from 5i Research

TPZ is forecasted to double it's EPS in 2024 while seeing revenue growth of 4%. TPZ's recent quarterly earnings displayed solid growth while the company continues to be heavily tied to commodity pricing. We think TPZ is fine to hold for income as it pays a good dividend yield at 6.6%, but the payout ratio is quite high compared with the sector.  The outlook and strong recent quarter display positively for short-term growth, but we think that there are better options for long-term potential. TPZ is also trading at a very expensive valuation versus other peer companies. 
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TOP PICK

Half of its portfolio is royalties from infrastructure and the other half is royalties from the best companies and best plays in Canada. It owns the land associated with these royalties. It has high free cash flow and pays a high dividend of 6% giving it stability. It should trade around $30. The energy sector is finally lifting but needs more stability in oil prices. He feels the price can stay in the $75 to $80 range for the longer term.
Buy 13  Hold 0  Sell 0

(Analysts’ price target is $26.88)
HOLD

It is part infrastructure and part royalty which is a good combination. It is well run and you could continue to hold. He owns this space in other ways.

BUY
Trevor Rose’s Insights - Trevor’s most-liked answers from 5i Research

We like TPZ for an income play as it pays a good dividend yield of 5.4%, generates good free cash flow, and does not have too much debt. Its balance sheet is strong, forward sales and earnings estimates point towards high growth rates, and overall we would be comfortable with this name for a long-term dividend name, although, it has seen a nice run recently, and we would expect a period of consolidation.
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COMMENT

Hasn't looked at it in a long time.