Scott Willis Total SA TOT-N TOP PICK Jun 29, 2018

(A Top Pick Jan 12/16. Up 18.61%.) One of the most conservatively managed oil/gas companies globally. Their refining and marketing benefits from low oil prices. They are making acquisitions when everybody else is forced to sell, setting themselves up for long-term value creation.

There is more upside if oil prices remain where they are. Dividends are extended and should be more than in the 3%-5% range. We just need some stability. The environment is conducive to the stability of prices. This is the time to buy some more.

Royal Dutch Shell (RDS.A-N) or Total (TOT-N)? He prefers Shell. Both companies are so large and diverse that you can’t even call them heavy oil. They are both a bit sleepy and are never going to blow you up, but they don’t move is much as some others.

One of the few oil companies he owns. It is a fully integrated oil company. It has growth. Their downstream and retail businesses are doing well and help modulate their cash flows. (5.3% yield).

This is a play on global energy. Also, Total is moving rapidly into the renewable space. Dividend yield is 4.6%. They are looking at their business 50 years out. Even though oil consumption is still growing in the present, the long-term future is not there. Total generates huge free cash flow, its balance sheet is better than it has been for 25 years, they will have almost no debt in 3 years and will have huge room to raise the dividend. (Analysts’ price target is $71.16)