Stockchase Opinions

Michael Simpson, CFA Telus Corp T-T HOLD Oct 03, 2025

Competitive, tough times in the industry now. Catalyst in 9-10 months when it spins off healthcare division, thinks this will be successful. More successful than TIXT, since brought back into the fold (which some analysts weren't happy with). Committed to growing dividend, though he'd rather see dividend growth slowed and debt paid down.

If you're a long-term investor, hold. For new $$, start looking around $20.

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Stock price when the opinion was issued

telephone utilities
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BUY

Yield is ~7.3%, pretty high (10-year average is ~5.4%). No doubt about dividend sustainability, grew about 7% a year over last decade. All telcos should see easier earnings comparisons as price war is in the rearview mirror. Peers are distracted with integration. Nice portfolio of non-telecom businesses with faster growth rates. $3B worth of surplus urban real estate to monetize.

Likes how the chart's starting to perk up. Better return than GICs or bonds right now.

Unspecified

Telecom is showing a slow bounce back but growth is slower right now and don't expect fireworks in capital gains appreciation. Cash flow is expected to improve but the debt load is a little higher. She owns it for the dividend of over 7%.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Sep 05/24, Up 7%)

Picked it because she was worried about the economy (still is), and would be happy with the dividend. Same reason she owns it today for the 7.4% yield. Slower growth, but very defensive industry. Price competition has lessened. Better financial position than peers.

BUY

The worries over telcos have passed, with worries over Quebecor, the fourth player, entering, and in lower immigration to buy phone plans. Telus pays a high dividend, his favourite among the big three in terms of income alone.

TOP PICK

Best telco in Canada. Dividend sustainable, but will also grow faster than peers; proof is in 7% increase this past year. Price war is fizzling out. More financial strength and optionality than competitors, and less distracted by acquisitions. Plans to monetize $3B of surplus real estate. Yield is 7.55%, elevated relative to its 10-year average of 5%.

(Analysts’ price target is $23.49)
WEAK BUY

It's as though you're at an ugly dog show, but there's one that's less ugly. That's Telus. Spending lots of $$ on their network. Raised dividend recently -- nice, growing, relatively secure. Stable business, stable cashflow. Attractive valuation. Not a bad income stock.

In a protected environment. The whole sector will be in trouble if the government opens the door to foreign competition.

COMMENT

It is his favourite carrier for personal use.. There is pressure to open up competition in the space.

BUY

Hopes to see stability in the wireless market. Has always been very well-managed. Owns Bell, also. Telus remains fairly valued and the dividend of over 7% is safe.

WEAK BUY

Telcos has been struggling, but remains bullish on Telus. Scores 9 for value. They announced a partnership to monetize their wireless tower infrastructure, and will buy completely Telus Digital. Q2 earnings affirmed guidance. Stable cash flow. Not an exciting growth, but will get an over 7% dividend (safe) and diversified growth. Caveat: heavy debt. Lower rates will give telcos some relief.