(A Top Pick Oct 9/15. Down 2.01%.) At the time he wanted to be a bit more defensive. October to May is really a cyclical time where you want to take on a lot of risk in your portfolio, but he was just not liking the market action, so was being fairly defensive at the time. On this stock, the average gain between Oct 10 to Dec 31 is about 9%, but this hit resistance at about $41.50. During the period of seasonal strength, it ended up with a marginal gain of about 0.12%.
When the company announced it was buying Jetro Restaurant Depot, the street dumped shares. This is wrong. This deal should increase SYY revenue by 20% and free cash flow by 55%. Before the deal, SYY was doing well.
It shot up after reporting this week with a modest top and bottom line beat. January business is strong, so they expect fiscal 2026 to come in at the high end of their guidance. It's cheap at 18x PE and pays a 2.6% dividend.
SYY distributes food through the US, Canada and Europe. It has invested in new supply chain inventory management systems for its customers allowing margins to expand and strong profit growth. It trades at 20x earnings and we like that cash reserves continue growing, while debt is reduced and shares bought back. The dividend is backed by a payout ratio under 50% of cash flow. We recommend setting a stop-loss at $71, looking to achieve $92 -- upside potential of 18%. Yield 2.4%
PEG ratio = price/EPS divided by EPS growth rate. Too high and too low a PEG ratio is not good. A top food supplier to restaurants. Has held up well vs. the index, but has been rangebound in the past year. It's trading under 17x 2023 PE and a PEG ratio of 1.2. Cheap. They can pass food inflation to their customers. Also, diners still want to dine out even as the economy slows. Pays a nearly 2.5% dividend yield. SYS has little competition too.
The market prefers Growth at a Reasonable Price (GARP) stock as rates rise and tech is unfashionable. The PEG ratio is a key metric. These shares pay big dividends or buyback shares. In January, 10% of their workers tested positive for Covid, but that's the past and we're returning to normal. SYY has taken a lot of market share during Covid. Earnings will double this year, and it trades under 20x PE. Great managers.
A fine way to play the restaurant comeback. This food distributors supplies restos, schools and hotels in the US and Ireland. Yesterday's investor day they unveiled plans to grow 50% faster than their industry and a $5 billion share buyback, raising the dividend by 4.4% and announced the key purchase of an Italian food distributor.
Oct 10 to Dec 31, it averaged 9.14% 21 out of 25 of the past years. Sometimes they don’t go all the way to the end of year. It could be the end of November.
(A Top Pick March 23/15. Down 5.83%.) The premise was that this was in a defensive sector. There are talks of a merger and being taken to court, so there is some negativity around the stock. Just too much going on here.
It is a consumer staples stock and already starting to show positive signs. Normally it does not have seasonal strength until April 23rd, but now is the time to get into it this year. A one to two month hold.
Consumers’ staples companies tend to be well in the summer. More of a defensive play. Has done well and is holding above its 20 day moving average. The trend is all positive and he can’t say anything negatively about it technically, it’s just that the seasonals are not backing it up.
(A Top Pick Oct 9/15. Down 2.01%.) At the time he wanted to be a bit more defensive. October to May is really a cyclical time where you want to take on a lot of risk in your portfolio, but he was just not liking the market action, so was being fairly defensive at the time. On this stock, the average gain between Oct 10 to Dec 31 is about 9%, but this hit resistance at about $41.50. During the period of seasonal strength, it ended up with a marginal gain of about 0.12%.