Stockchase Opinions

Jason Donville Solium Capital Inc SUM-T PARTIAL BUY Jun 24, 2013

He doesn’t have a huge position but is building one. They basically work in the financial services world of managing employee-share ownership plans, etc. Very complex business and the software programming that allows this to be done is really their strength. World-class software company. Getting quite entrenched in the UK, US and Canada. Have been invited into Australia. ROE is very strong. Don’t chase this one, start accumulating.

$4.800

Stock price when the opinion was issued

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DON'T BUY

Sold most of his holdings after their big run. They are trying to move into the US. On a valuation basis, he thinks it is pretty extended here. He also sees the growth slowing. A highly competitive business in the US.

HOLD

Reported good earnings yesterday. Has a very interesting service, equity planning for major corporations.

COMMENT

Software as a service with a high recurring revenue model. Just reported their earnings and people were disappointed. They were down 29% year-over-year. Expanding into other markets. Earnings estimates have been revised downwards by about 4% in the last 90 days. PE is 28X for 2015 as opposed to 24X. Thinks the stock will mark time as people wait for coming quarters to see if there is any improvement.

DON'T BUY

He has a small Short position. It is really more of a quantitatively driven Short. Earnings estimates, on a go-forward basis, have shown negative momentum. Had a good run in Canada on benefit processing and things like that, and are trying to do the same in the US, which is a much more competitive marketplace. Thinks there is more risk to the name then upside.

HOLD

Has owned this 3 times off and on over the last 3 years. Just reported and the ROE is just a little bit lower than where his threshold is. He is looking for 20% growth and this is growing at 17%, which is still not bad for a lot of people.

COMMENT

Basically provide a lot of employee benefits, particularly with regards to stock options, etc. They advised they were expanding into Australia and the UK and that expenses would go up. Earnings are expected to grow from $.21 to $.28 however you already have a 26X PE. If they are successful, they will have a 12% ROE. 14% growth against a pretty high PE for next year is why the stock is marking time. Expects there will be a continuation of the sideways move for another 6-12 months.

TOP PICK

A software platform with large cap clients. They manage employee stock purchase, stock option plans and share buybacks for publicly traded companies. Sales are growing rapidly. They have a high level of recurring revenue. The upside is huge here. (Analysts’ target: $12.91).

BUY
Managed software for employee stock purchase programs. They are the world leaders. It is his fifth biggest position. You are going to see recurring revenues ramp up over the next year or two. Profit margins are increasing also. They are reasonably priced. They will continue to grow.
HOLD
If you buy it today, it is getting acquired and you get some cash. It serves stock option plans.
PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Jun 14/18, Up 59%) It is another example of an undervalued tech company in Canada. It was taken out by MS-N just over a month ago.