Jon Vialoux
Schlumberger Ltd.
SLB-N
COMMENT
Dec 04, 2019
He can't forecast price targets for any oil stock, given so many factors like e-cars. Play oil seasonally, not long term. Dec. 14-April 30 is seasonality. This is setting up well. SLB is a loser this year and will be busy during tax-loss selling. It's resisting its 200-day moving average. He wouldn't buy until it breaks above that. Short-term support is $30, but can it run ahead?
Neither. Look at the 10-year charts, both lower today than 10 years ago. When flush with money, make acquisitions; then when things turn nasty, take write downs. Result is less than zero value creation for shareholders. The only people making money are the executives.
Earnings beat, but revenues miss. She sighs. Shares rallied into the print. EBITDA was good and free cash flow beat expectations. Digital was up 25% YOY. Trades at only 12x forward PE, the best oil services stock.
They report Friday. Rising prices aren't enough to turn around SLB, which has been in the dumps for a year and 4 months. But he expects a positive forecast from them, given drilling optimism.
Sold it. It never became a full position. He bought it because of its last quarter and on deregulation. But oil companies won't drill that much, because it lower the price of oil.