Stockchase Opinions

Peter Imhof Skechers USA Inc. SKX-N PAST TOP PICK Feb 28, 2017

(A Top Pick Jan 8/16. Down 3%.) Had thought this was a real GARP story, and the stock looked very cheap at the time. They had very good earnings growth, however, they stumbled on a couple of quarters and the stock really took a hit. This last quarter was better than expected. He exited this.

$25.670

Stock price when the opinion was issued

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COMMENT

Had a big selloff after missing earnings. This just underscores how scary owning individual stocks can be. This was a real surprising momentum play and it did extremely well. They are apparently opening up 50-60 new stores this year. In addition, there is a holiday season coming up. This is fashion and fashion is fickle. He would rather go with a more diversified name with thousands of stores around the world.

TOP PICK

The stock has come off, but the earnings have come through tremendously over the last number of years. Earnings were $.07, then $.31 and then $.96. For 2016 they are probably going to earn $1.50. They are going to report in about 6 weeks or so. For 2016 he is looking for more than $2 a share in earnings, even though the earnings growth is going to be a bit more than 30%. Stock is off, so this is a very good opportunity.

PAST TOP PICK

(Top Pick Jan 8/16, Down 17.37%) Last quarter they missed. He still owns it, but took some off. Analysts took earnings estimates down. They have $3.50 in cash per share. Given risk reward, he would still own it.

BUY

They are moderately placed. They have a really good growth outside of the US (40% of revenues now). Valuations are not too extreme. She likes that they have so much on line sales.

DON'T BUY

They're inconsistent. Buy Nike instead. Nike is the best of breed.

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Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

TOP PICK
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly SKX has benefitted from the trend of at-home living during the pandemic. More comfortable footwear replacing heels and dress shoes. Its sales are reflective of the growing cash position (now holding over $1 billion), which it has been using to pay down debt. It trades at good market value -- expected to be at 16x earnings next year and less than 3x book value. We would buy this with a stop loss at $37, looking to achieve $64 -- upside potential over 26%. Yield 0% (Analysts’ price target is $64.08)
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This is a Panic-proof Portfolio opinion which is available only for Premium members

Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

TOP PICK
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly We reiterate SKX as a TOP PICK following its recently announced earnings. Although some supply-chain issues are slowing delivery of product to market, it is anticipated supply will be improving in time for the upcoming holiday rush. UBS recently set a $70 price target for the shares. EPS was up over 60% from a year ago, pushed by sales that increased 19% -- suggesting margins are increasing. We would continue to recommend a stop loss at $37, looking to achieve $62 -- upside potential over 31%. Yield 0% (Analysts’ price target is $61.81)
premium

This is a Panic-proof Portfolio opinion which is available only for Premium members

Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

TOP PICK
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O’Reilly We again reiterate SKX as a TOP PICK following its recently announced earnings. Reported earnings beat analyst expectations by 33%, and demonstrated a 12% ROE. It trades at 10x earnings compared to peers at 14x. We like that they have been using cash reserves to pay down debt. We recommend trailing up the stop (from $37) to $40, looking to achieve $62 -- upside potential over 29%. Yield 0% (Analysts’ price target is $61.92)
premium

This is a Panic-proof Portfolio opinion which is available only for Premium members

Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Feb 22/22, Down 16.6%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O’Reilly Our PAST TOP PICK with SKX has triggered its stop at $40. To remain disciplined, we recommend covering the position at this time. This will result in a net investment loss of 17%, when combined with our previous buy recommendation.