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LON:SDX

SDX Energy Inc. (SDX.L)

2.95
-0.00 (0.00%)
as of Aug 2, 2024, 4:00:00 am Market Open.
44 watching
0
COMMENT

Their main area is Egypt. Producing 1600 BOEs a day. The stock trades effectively at cash value, so you are paying nothing for the reserves they are producing, the upside from the Meseda play and the work they are doing in South Disouq. It is cheap. For small-cap investors it is a very undervalued security, but we have to see much more robust pricing, and recovery will take much longer than it will for the big caps.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

Egypt. No debt. Potentially drilling at the end of the year a high impact play. They have another play they are doing 3D seismic on this year and could start drilling in 2015. They have upside, but it will be quiet for the next 6 months.

HOLD

This one is in the penalty box. It operates out of Egypt. Have hired a new president. This is a work in progress. Has an NAV of around $0.17. Egypt seems to be a place that is still in turmoil but he doesn’t think it is getting any worse. Where they have been producing is off the beaten track, not in Cairo. Just picked up a new property in the Gulf of Suez which should be quite interesting. We are approaching the tax loss selling season, so a lot of people may be selling, which could offer an opportunity for anyone interested.

COMMENT

Are the problems in Egypt affecting this company? Company is doing just under 2000 BOE’s a day so production site is not a problem. Apache (APA-N) is also in Egypt and doing very well. Operationally there are no issues because the areas where the company’s work is, is so far away from the problems. The key is that they want to drill some high impact wells. Have a new PSC which takes them in the Western Desert where there have been some home runs. Until they get the go-ahead to drill Shukheir Marine and to move forward with seismic in drilling in the PSC, the stock is going to be held back. Very cheap on a multiple basis but it needs a catalyst and that may not happen for many, many months.

COMMENT
Located in Egypt, which has been tough. Have also had a problem with one of their main assets. However, he still thinks they are going to make this work. He has a tiny position in this. Good management that has significant connections with the Egyptian government. Have signed a new development deal, got some new assets and effectively are starting over. Highly speculative.
COMMENT
Very cheap. NAV of about $.20. Company is now starting to drill again. In Egypt so there is country risk. Making a major acquisition with a private company in Egypt that will give them major oil exploration in the Gulf of Suez. There could be an increase from today's 1000-1100 BOEs a day that by the end of Q1 2013 could think of North out 8000-9000. His target is $0.30.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Dec 21/10. Down 71.66%.) Pairs trade. - Long Sea Dragon (SDX-X) and Short Bankers Petroleum (BNK-T). Once war broke out in Egypt he started selling out of it.
SELL
High profile management team that hasn’t delivered. Sitting on $0.03 of cash and trading at 4X cash flow. If you own, take a Tax Loss.
COMMENT
Got hit with the Egyptian uprising. Political risk is always difficult to forecast. Very solid management team. 2 projects. One has worked out very well and the second has proven to be more difficult but is not unfixable. Have been mapping the number of zones with possible fracing. Has NAV at $.30.
BUY ON WEAKNESS
Egyptian oil, Sees $0.25 of value between on their 1,200 BOE's a day production. Market is leaving the story alone because of the Egypt thing. They know their way around Egypt, Will be drilling high impact wells again in the 4th quarter. Likes the story. Mid-teens to the $0.20 range is a good buy.
BUY
Likes this one a lot. Was much higher a year ago when they were drilling the Colombo play. Since then they have drilled one more high impact well that turned out dry and that is when the stock dropped. They will be drilling another high impact well in the 4th quarter, which is close to El Morocco and has a higher probability of success. Probably $0.25 of hard value (NAV) in their current production they are doing now. You’ll have to be patient. You need a 3 to 4 year time horizon.
DON'T BUY
Has been a huge disappointment. Their Colombo wells, which they need to frac, have come on to about 1/3 to ¼ of the economic threshold. Doesn’t see any upside.
PAST TOP PICK
(Top Pick Dec 20/10, down 11.75%) Long Sea Dragon and short Bankers. Would still buy sea dragon.
BUY ON WEAKNESS
Egyptian oil producer. Doing about 1,375 BOEs a day and they fraced 6 wells that they’ll be bringing on production, so he sees them doing 1800-1900 BOEs a day.
BUY
Egyptian oil producer. Has been hit because of getting supplies due to Egyptian riots etc. Have had troubles executing. Fields are far away from insurgencies. Not expensive.
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