Lorne Steinberg
Transocean Inc.
RIG-N
DON'T BUY
Oct 05, 2015
It is a rig company and so is suffering badly. It is bleeding cash right now. It is too early to get into the oil related sector and this is a risky type of company.
options action It's trading at $462. There was a buyer of 13,000 of the April 22 5 calls. What followed was six other energy companies had unusual options. He is overloaded in the energy space, but he added to his RIG calls.
Transocean is highly risky, but if these day rates continue to rise on oil rigs, this will be many multiples of its current share price. That said, they have an upside-down balance sheet. Don't rush into this. Do your homework.
High debt, which they are paying down from free cashflow. Rig counts are up, a big milestone. Super-duper, high beta name to own when oil's not falling 5% in a day. Be strategic when to add. 12-ish% free cashflow yield, but see his Top Picks for a more compelling name.
They report later today, but he's not interest in that, but rather the conference call about how tight the market is for deep-drilling rigs. He thinks it's a matter of when, not if, their rigs will be reactivated.
It is a rig company and so is suffering badly. It is bleeding cash right now. It is too early to get into the oil related sector and this is a risky type of company.