Largest in the space. Only company that didn't go bankrupt during Covid, but now has a bit more debt than peers (though it's manageable). JPM downgraded it today on worries about Petrobras exposure.
He took profits, but would look to re-enter (not today, but likely lower). Demand will grow for next several decades. Biggest bear in the world (the IEA) just pivoted on peak demand. US shale growth is over, so where is oil going to come from? Macro's very good, but we just have to get through the next 3-6 months. Of all the names in services, the one he's most inclined to own.
They report later today, but he's not interest in that, but rather the conference call about how tight the market is for deep-drilling rigs. He thinks it's a matter of when, not if, their rigs will be reactivated.
High debt, which they are paying down from free cashflow. Rig counts are up, a big milestone. Super-duper, high beta name to own when oil's not falling 5% in a day. Be strategic when to add. 12-ish% free cashflow yield, but see his Top Picks for a more compelling name.
Transocean is highly risky, but if these day rates continue to rise on oil rigs, this will be many multiples of its current share price. That said, they have an upside-down balance sheet. Don't rush into this. Do your homework.
options action It's trading at $462. There was a buyer of 13,000 of the April 22 5 calls. What followed was six other energy companies had unusual options. He is overloaded in the energy space, but he added to his RIG calls.
Largest in the space. Only company that didn't go bankrupt during Covid, but now has a bit more debt than peers (though it's manageable). JPM downgraded it today on worries about Petrobras exposure.
He took profits, but would look to re-enter (not today, but likely lower). Demand will grow for next several decades. Biggest bear in the world (the IEA) just pivoted on peak demand. US shale growth is over, so where is oil going to come from? Macro's very good, but we just have to get through the next 3-6 months. Of all the names in services, the one he's most inclined to own.