Stockchase Opinions

Dean Orrico Rite Aid Corp. RAD-N PAST TOP PICK Jan 25, 2017

(A Top Pick Oct 11/16. Down 3.59%.) This was and is subject to a takeover offer by Walgreens. Sold his holdings at about $8.30.

$6.900

Stock price when the opinion was issued

specialty stores
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COMMENT

This has been the “sick man” of the pharmacy business. It is now dominated by CVS and the Walgreen conglomerate, and there would be serious anti-trust concerns if one of those 2 bought this company. A great sector to be in.

COMMENT

He doesn’t cover this, because as a pharmacy it is considered a consumer staple. Right now this is being subject to a takeover by Walgreen Boots Alliance (WBA-Q).

TOP PICK

About a year ago, Walgreen Boots Alliance (WBA-Q) wanted to take this over in a friendly deal, at $9. For the better part of 9 months, the stock didn’t move. There have been a number of M&A transactions in the healthcare space that didn’t work out, so all the risk arbitrage players who were focused on healthcare weren’t playing it. He is sure this is a transaction that is going to happen, which would give you a 20% lift.

HOLD

Doesn’t think there is really an issue with this stock. Pharmacies haven’t quite been where the action is in the healthcare vertical. This is a decent name.

DON'T BUY

The deal to be acquired by Walgreens (WBA-Q) didn’t get off the ground. There were some antitrust issues. However, they struck a deal to buy individual stores. It is going to take Walgreens from about 8000 stores to about 10,000, which will compete pretty much head-to-head with CVS (CVS-N). These stores are not as efficient and need some work. Also the company needs some capital, because they need to improve their offering.

COMMENT

Getting a $5 billion injection from Walgreen which will help with their long-term debt. Has had his brains blown out of the water on this stock. Bought it as an arbitrage play because of Walgreen. Has bought more recently. This has been one of his big losers. He is happy to hold it as he thinks it has a lot of upside. Same-store sales going down in a company is not great.

HOLD

It has been one of his biggest losers. At this point it is an iffy company. He is holding it because he thinks there is some upside. They could get taken out still.

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TOP PICK
Rite Aid Corporation is on the front lines of delivering healthcare services and retail products to more than 1.6 million Americans daily. Our pharmacists are uniquely positioned to engage with customers and improve their health outcomes. The company provides an array of whole being health products and services for the entire family through over 2,400 retail pharmacy locations across 17 states. Through Elixir, we provide pharmacy benefits and services to approximately 4 million members nationwide. Social media mentions are up 650% in the past 24h.