Opinions
Norman Levine
Petrobras Energia SA
PZE-N
BUY
May 05, 2010
State owned oil company in Brazil. Had a big run-up a couple of years ago when they had some big discoveries off the coast. Has fallen off and a good time to get some oil stocks. A good name.
$15.530
Stock price when the opinion was issued
oil
gas
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One of the 3 largest emerging market stocks globally. A favourite globally because it is assumed to have a very high growth profile as offshore production comes online over the next several years. Wouldn't be his favourite because 1) not particularly cheap and 2) significant government influence. Would prefer Royal Dutch Shell (RDS.A-N).
oil
gas
COMMENT
This has a very, very leveraged balance sheet. A number of their bonds are coming due in the next 18 months. Because this is a very important entity to the Brazilian government, she doesn’t think there is going to be a default. There might be a painful refinancing. This tends to trade as a very highly levered higher beta call on oil prices. Have a lot of great assets, which they can always sell. Be cautious, because as a shareholder you come way behind all the bondholders.
oil
gas
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