Opinions
Darren Sissons
Petrobras Energia SA
PZE-N
DON'T BUY
Sep 11, 2018
$11.330
Stock price when the opinion was issued
oil
gas
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DON'T BUY
One of the 3 largest emerging market stocks globally. A favourite globally because it is assumed to have a very high growth profile as offshore production comes online over the next several years. Wouldn't be his favourite because 1) not particularly cheap and 2) significant government influence. Would prefer Royal Dutch Shell (RDS.A-N).
oil
gas
COMMENT
This has a very, very leveraged balance sheet. A number of their bonds are coming due in the next 18 months. Because this is a very important entity to the Brazilian government, she doesn’t think there is going to be a default. There might be a painful refinancing. This tends to trade as a very highly levered higher beta call on oil prices. Have a lot of great assets, which they can always sell. Be cautious, because as a shareholder you come way behind all the bondholders.
oil
gas
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The chart's been up and down. Sure, there are massive oil reserves, but there are also political governance and corruption issues which turn him away.