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Patheon (PTI.TO)

HOLD
It is in the bottom of a trading range. Thinks it will rally back to the top so wait to see if it breaks out of its range.
TOP PICK
Top Short This is a situation where they don't have a CEO. High debt level. Manufacturing problems in Puerto Rico. Making no money and even if they make money next year, it is trading at about 40/50 X next year's earnings assuming all the problems are fixed.
TOP PICK
This is a torpedo stock and the best time to buy is after the torpedo. OBB numbers are rising. Likes this sector. Have a Stop in at $5.20.
HOLD
If there is a lower low then on the previous bottom, the longer term downtrend is still in place. Could be a potential for a double bottom. That would be pretty major and could result in a 50% retrace of its major decline. Be patient.
DON'T BUY
Has been a management change. Old management lost all credibility. Announced mediocre earnings. Made a disastrous acquisition in Porto Rico. Would want to see at least 2 or 3 quarters of accelerating earnings.
WEAK BUY
There has constantly been failure to hold support levels. Clearly, the trend is heading lower. If you like the stock, technically it is setting up for a rally. If it drops below $6, you want to be stopped out.
DON'T BUY
They have screwed up so badly with their latest Puerto Rican acquisition. They had 4 acquisitions in a role that were very good and the stock took off and then they blew their brains out on the last one. Dead money for a while.
DON'T BUY
Their acquisition in Puerto Rico turned out to be a disaster. Profits have been lower than anticipated. No institutional investor will buy this stock until they see three or four quarters of positive growth.
DON'T BUY
His model price is $8.91. Unfortunately, the earnings have been going down in lockstep with his model price. There doesn't seem to be any bottom. If you want to trade it, it will probably have a small bounce from $5.
DON'T BUY
Their primary problem is with their plant in Puerto Rico. Looking at $.22/.25 earnings this year and maybe $.40 next year. Given that big hiccup it is now a “show me” story.
HOLD
Has come under year-end selling pressure. The stock is probably worth $6 or $7 and possibly a bit more. You might see a rise in January. Consider selling for a tax loss or holding end selling in January.
DON'T BUY
Had a number of things working against them. Some of their products were coming of patent. Haven't been able to fill the void as was expected. Hoping that this is a short term blip.
WAIT
Earnings for Oct/05 is still coming up and he has a mean estimate of $0.25 and for Oct/06 it is $0.43. His model price is about $11. He is tempted to wait until the year end when they announce their earnings.
DON'T BUY
3 strikes and your out. 1) The CFO resigned. 2) They had a lousy quarter. 3) They now have problems with the FDA regarding one of the factories they purchased in Porto Rico which looks like it was not a great purchase.
DON'T BUY
Had a big fall from grace and rallied recently, but it's still too early to buy. Would like to see the stock thoroughly washed out and building a nice base.
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