Stockchase Opinions

Don Vialoux ETFS Physical Platinum Shares PPLT-N PAST TOP PICK Apr 14, 2015

(A Top Pick Jan 19/15. Down 9.05%.) The story here is that seasonality does not work all of the time. The key is to protect yourself when it doesn’t work, so watch the technical indicators. What happened in this case is that the US$ took off and virtually eliminated all the potential return from platinum.

$111.690

Stock price when the opinion was issued

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TOP PICK

The platinum was a bit of a surprise this year. Seasonal strength is from the middle of December right through until around the end of April. This year we didn’t get the actual move until around the end of January. The reason for the strength is the way platinum is used. It is used in the auto industry for catalytic converters. More autos are being sold this year than last year. We are expecting to have a record crowd at the auto sales tradeshows this week. A very interesting trade technically, fundamentally and seasonally.

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Feb 12/16. Up 3.56%.) (Recommended 2 weeks ago that profits should be taken.) This one is normally a seasonal trade from around the end of November right through until the last week of April.

TOP PICK

Platinum is used for catalytic converters in cars, and we are just about to go into the auto buying season. Also, platinum is a precious metal, and they do very well at this particular time. Historically the best time to own platinum is from the beginning of January right through until probably March. The chart shows that this has already started bottoming out now and is showing an upward trend. There is a pretty good chance you will get a shot at the high of $110.

HOLD

Platinum is an industrial and precious metal and has done well since the beginning of the year. This is a seasonable time for Platinum. The seasonal period starts in January and runs as long as May, but most of the gains are in the first couple of months. If you see it pull back, then exit.

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Jan 20/17. Down 3%.) The intention here is to own platinum right through until the end of April. This is because platinum is used in catalytic converters. Coming into the car season, there is greater demand expected for platinum. If you own, what do you do now? The answer is, stick with it and buy some more. The interest in the auto industry and catalytic converters is growing.

HOLD
It has a seasonality that kicked in just after the new year. It is probably going to run into resistance at $92 even if seasonality gets extended. If we see the US$ weaken further we will probably see the seasonality extend.
WEAK BUY
Palladium's had a bubble run in the last few years and that also pushes up the price of platinum. They offer trade in tandem, but platinum is a precious metal and palladium is industrial, so he prefers platinum.
COMMENT
Historical price of platinum vs gold? Can't comment on industrial usage of platinum vs palladium. Unlike gold, platinum and palladium do have industrial uses, so as gold, but gold primarily has a consumer use and a psychological use as a saftey asset. He would be very careful to read into the historical ratios and betting on reversion trade and the behavior of platinum relative to gold and so on.
TOP PICK

Chart indicating low on the trend. Good time to buy. Would recommend to investors. Current share price has a level of support. Once stock reaches $90, will see. Tradable stock, not a good long term investment. 

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Nov 10/23, Up 12%)

Likes precious metals currently. Likes direction of chart. Will continue to own in portfolio. Is good option for "risky/aggressive" investors. Overall theme of strong commodity up trend.