Palantir TechnologiesPLTRBUYMar 20, 2024Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jul 31, 2026. Market Open.
Price target in 12 months of $182.25, long runway. Government side is massive, so fully integrated into so many defense systems around the world. Needs to strengthen enterprise side. CEO's abruptness turns people off in the way Elon Musk does. Definitely buy some here, more ~$115, and the rest ~$105.
Executing well. Increasingly employing AI in day-to-day operations. Growing use in government/defense plus strong adoption by commercial customers.
Proving it can turn demand into profit and cashflow. Revenue grew an exceptional 85% last quarter. Valuation remains her biggest concern (roughly 40x next year's sales), leaving little room for disappointment/error. Be cautious.
The only software name he owns. Beaten down because it's put in the software bucket, plus relatively expensive compared to peers. Sometimes you have to pay up for a best-in-class asset. Last quarter's numbers blew it out of the water. Growing 80% YOY, very profitable.
Accelerating commercial revenue on top of government contracts. Helping companies adopt AI.
It is not cheap, but it has its merits: growth, balance sheet, market leadership, large contracts, long history, growing cash flow. The main issue is stock-based compensation and a CEO many see as eccentric. But, sales will double from 2021 to 2025, and it is now profitable. It will we think get into the S&P 500 index in the next year. Its data analytics is already established, and the customer count is growing. It is not risk-free, and many see it as having unsustainable 'cult' status with investors. But the last quarter was very good, and guidance was strong. We are quite comfortable with it overall, but have a five year plan here at least.
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