Stockchase Opinions

Bruce Campbell (2) Patriot One Technologies Inc. PAT-X HOLD Feb 28, 2018

He says this is a company they just participated in a financing with and they do have a small holding. He says they need final licensing before they can draw down their backlog of sales – he expects this in the second-half of the year. As this defence technology gets adopted, he thinks this will make the company a take-out target by a big player.

$1.820

Stock price when the opinion was issued

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WATCH

It is developing technology to develop gun detection. Until they get real traction and concrete revenues, it is still speculative. He would prefer to pay more for the stock once it has proven things up.

RISKY
It is a pretty high risk hold. He has a hard time with the valuation. If they had a solid revenue contract he would feel better.
DON'T BUY
The are in the security systems. An interesting story but they don't have revenues coming in yet. He prefers companies that proved their concept with sales. They had just an equity event that was very dilutive to the existing shareholders.
WEAK BUY
Jump up today looks encouraging, but he's not aware of any news. Pretty good rally, generally positive. Looks as though volume is building. Could head back up to $3. If it drops below $1.80 or $1.90, he'd be concerned. These stocks are risky, no more than a 2% position in your portfolio.
WATCH
He spoke recently with the CEO. Their technology expanded to find drugs, explosives, and devices can measure items in parts per trillion. This could be used at airport security, for example. He thinks it is too expensive right now and forecasts for 2020 earnings are suggesting a 20 times multiple. Interesting technology, but he is still waiting for real orders to justify the valuation.
COMMENT
SCAN-X vs. PAT-X SCAN-X uses weapon detection technology that can scan up to 15 feet away. They have a market cap of $55 million. Compared with PAT-X, it is about one-quarter of the market value although the technology is very similar. He would prefer SCAN-X based on its value.
WATCH
He has owned it in the past. He's waiting for some orders for them to ramp up their revenue and show mass adaptation of their technology.
WATCH
He does not follow this too closely. It might be a bit early for their new technology, so watch revenues for the sign the enter. A little too soon to enter just yet.
WATCH
Own some warrants but don't own the stock. Need to see sales come through to see a big run. They have a radio-wave technology on doors that can detect threat. Could be a potential take over target if we start seeing good sales.
COMMENT
They have weapons-detection technology and it's done well in the past 18 months with some new deals signed. They don't have a lot of revenue yet, and investors are waiting for that. $7 million over 12 months is their forecast revenue. But what happens in an economic downturn? He likes their partnerships so far, though. If they get traction on contrast, investors will come in. Not for the faint of heart.