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Palo Alto NetworksPANWCOMMENTJan 14, 2016Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 12, 2026. Market Open.
Likes cybersecurity, but look at the move on the chart since April, and now it's gone parabolic -- doesn't like that trend. He doesn't want to be that buyer when everyone else is getting out.
That said, expects significant growth in security markets. Premier name, great company. Wait for a better entry point. The recent pullback is not enough. Be patient, you'll get your chance. Below $200 would be the time to take a look.
Is in a strong uptrend with higher highs since late February. Each pullback has been a fine buying opportunity with strong volumes. The Chakykin Money Flow shows strong institutional buying which surprised him in a good way. Are lots of options flows. The market is bullish.
After talking to tech CEOs, she doesn't believe AI will take over their business like PANW's but rather will get even more business as companies use more AI to code. Doesn't see the catalyst with PANW, but fundamentals are strong and product revenues and margins are growing. They will buy back $1 billion in shares. Trades at 10x price to sales (CRWD is at 25x). She will stick with it and will eventually buy more, though present weakness is frustrating.
Earnings per share of $1.03 beat the $0.94 estimate, and revenue of $2.6B topped the $2.58B forecast. Revenue rose 15% year-over-year, driven by subscription and support sales (roughly 80% of total). Operating margins stayed around 30%, and RPO of $16.0B grew 23%. FY2026 guidance calls for 22-23% revenue growth and EPS of $3.65-$3.70. Investors found the profit outlook conservative despite strong results and raised revenue guidance, though this caution reflected integration costs from major acquisitions. They viewed the results as solid but noted the stock has declined with the broader software selloff. They would consider buying gradually at current levels while acknowledging potential for further downside. Unlock Premium - Try 5i Free
Cybersecurity companies won't be going away, not easily replaced. Drop could be due to multiple compression. Just because a stock used to be $xxx, doesn't mean that was the value of it. Good company, and maybe the price should never have been $220.
Going forward, these types of companies should be good. They'll be volatile.
As for its being part of an ETF, there's a good chance it would be in a software ETF and would (theoretically) be drawn down along with that sector.
Cyber Security problems are not going to go away, but is probably going to get much worse, whether it involves governments, large corporations, banks or terrorism. This space will continue to be strong. This company happens to be one of the stronger or higher growth type of names in the area. Growing at well over 40% on a long-term growth basis. On this kind of name, you are going to want to trade or hold for a long-term. Trading just below its 200 day moving average.