Opinions
Stan Wong
Pan American Silver
PAAS-T
WEAK BUY
Jun 12, 2025
$39.480
Stock price when the opinion was issued
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BUY
Silver outlook No idea, but he expects central banks to print a lot of money to get us through the pandemic. This means silver will do very well. Historically vs. gold, silver is cheap, though it's more volatile, falling much more than gold (e.g. Dec. 2018). About 3 months ago, he thoroughly searched for a silver stock and found PAAS. It carries no debt. If you can stomach the volatility, silver probably catches up to gold and when it does, PAAS will take off.
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BUY
If central banks continue to print money, bodes well for hard assets. Gold is trending higher again, a hedge against inflation. Jury is still out, as we don't have runaway inflation. He isn't saying there will be, but there is a risk. Fed is willing to let inflation run hot. Don't have all your money in gold, but a percentage in gold or the precious metals (miners) does make sense. He owns Kirkland Lake and Pan American Silver. These two are the top miners based on his metrics.
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TOP PICK
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly PAAS is the world's largest silver producer and is a producer of other base and precious metals. It operates facilities in Canada, central and south America. Aside from silver's many industrial uses, it also acts as an inflation hedge. Overall, a good holding for an economy staging a comeback. EPS fell short of analyst expectations as the pandemic impacted its work force in South America, but that is expected to turn going forward. It pays a reasonable dividend, backed by a payout ratio under 20% of cashflow. We would buy this with a stop loss at $27.50, looking to achieve $52 -- upside potential over 27%. Yield 0.78% (Analysts’ price target is $51.74)
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TOP PICK
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly We reiterate PAAS, the world's largest silver producer, as a TOP PICK. It operates facilities in Canada, central and south America. Aside from silver's many industrial uses, it also acts as an inflation hedge. Forward earnings project it trading at 13x earnings, compared to peers at 16x. It pays a reasonable (and growing) dividend, backed by a payout ratio under 20% of cashflow. We would buy this with a stop loss at $27.50, looking to achieve $52 -- upside potential over 62%. Yield 1.55% (Analysts’ price target is $49.29)
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TOP PICK
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O’Reilly As the world's largest silver producer, we again reiterate PAAS as a TOP PICK. Operating facilities in Canada, central and South America it is well positioned and trading at good value and silver also acts as an inflation hedge. It pays a reasonable (and growing) dividend, backed by a payout ratio under 25% of cashflow. We continue to recommend a stop loss at $27.50, looking to achieve $48 - upside potential over 50%. Yield 1.65% (Analysts’ price target is $47.50)
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PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jan 19/22, Down 12.5%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly Our PAST TOP PICK with PAAS has triggered its stop at $27.50. To remain disciplined, we recommend covering the position at this time. This results in a net investment loss of 22%, when combined with the previous buy recommendation.
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TOP PICK
New entrance in the trending stocks. Operates silver mines across the Americas. World's largest silver producer and holds largest silver reserves globally. Missed their estimated earnings by 50%. Lots of social media mentions due to the earnings report as well as investors wanting to get more exposure to commodities during the current geopolitical tensions.
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PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Mar 04/20, Down 31%)
They had operational problems in Mexico, but they remain a major silver and gold producer. They just took over the Latin American operations of Yamana in tandem with Agnico; this will double their gold production. They have a warrant to reopen a mine in Guatemala, and might reopen. Gold and silver is the place to be.
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Bottomed in March 2024, moved very quickly upwards since then. Up ~45% in last 12 months. Still upside to silver. Acquisition is helping in terms of synergies. Prefers bullion, as miners can face operational and management challenges. See his Top Picks.