Stockchase Opinions

Mike Vinokur Oshkosh Truck Corp. OSK-N TOP PICK Jan 12, 2024

State of the art technology and good management team will continue to perform. Very good at M&A in the past. Believes company will exceed earnings expectations. Trading at 10x earnings, which is under valued. "Inflation Reduction Act" money & conflict in Middle East will also help business. Has been buying shares on recent share pullback. Good to own for long term investors. 

N/A

Stock price when the opinion was issued

Automotive
It's the ideal tool to help you make quicker, more informed decisions for managing and tracking your investments.

You might be interested:

PAST TOP PICK
(Past Top Pick Feb 15/07. Down 11.7%.) Still confident. May move it from a strategic investment to a full corporal link (?) but is waiting to see what happens with the election next year as 1/3 of their business is military vehicles. Other side of the business is doing exceptionally well. This is the time of the cycle when refurbishment/buying new vehicles comes into play. Continuing to $cost averaging.
SELL
(Market Call Minute.) Raised their debt load. Housing and their construction sector has fallen off.
BUY
Main catalyst is their drive train system. Got a very large order from the Dept of Defense for all-terrain vehicles. Also do fire trucks, aircraft support and construction vehicles. Able to piggyback their expertise into military vehicles. A lot of international orders.
DON'T BUY
Model price $37.19, 40% upside. If it’s going to hold it will hold here. Has had a terrible 3 months. Would be more excited at the $20 level.
BUY ON WEAKNESS
Up 5% today in the rally. Has real earnings at a reasonable valuation. Buy on the next pullback.
COMMENT

The chart is rangebound, roughly $70 to $100, now at the top of that range. Give it a few weeks; if it continues to move down, sell.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jan 12/24, Up 12%)

He sold a while back. When purchased, he estimated the value at $120-125 or 20% above purchase price. Reported earnings, which were good, but he was concerned about growth going forward. Used it to raise cash.

TOP PICK

More of a Trump-tech trade. 12-month price target of $130. Defense is a big segment for them, including fire/emergency. Also access equipment. Will do very well in the US, but certainly with NATO. NATO will become a key pivot point, even with Mr. Trump. Reports next week. Yield is 1.2%.

(Analysts’ price target is $130.56)
BUY

They just blew away their numbers, surprising him, and yet no one is paying attention to them.