Brian Acker, CAOilexco IncOIL.VDON'T BUYApr 03, 2008
He has a model price of $24.38 giving it an 86% upside. The only issue that he has with this one is a plethora of good news but never sees the earnings estimates going up. Any pullback in oil prices and get could get back to $11 quite easily. Any positive news in oil or the company and your upside is $17.44. Risk/reward is not good enough for him.
Has potentially blown up in bankruptcy. If you own, take your losses and move on. You could also talk to a stockbroker to see if there is any “over-the-counter” trading. If so, Sell.
(A Top Pick June 3/08. Down 99.59%. Has moved to a different investment firm.) Had a stop loss of $11 so would have been down 31%. Company is now bankrupt.
(Top Pick Apr 4/08 Down 99.20%) Got into a debt problem. Company got blindsided by the storm. Management is trying to resurrect company. If Chrysler can come out of bankruptcy, then so can Oilexco.
One of the best companies he had seen in the North Sea. Got drilling rigs and where successful but didn't hedge. Oil dropped and they had a lot of bills to pay and their banker was unable to finance them.
(A Top Pick April 4/08. Down 99.2%.) Fabulous exploration team, which is still very keen on doing something in the North Sea. Doesn't know what the endgame is going to be.
(A Top Pick April 2/08. Down 99.2%.) Its intrinsic value is in the $2-$3 range. Has terrific properties with great growth potential of up to 100,000 BOE's a day (vs. most recent of 30,000-35,000). Was hoping somebody would come and pay fair value and arrange financing to get them back on their feet. If you own, let it go to zero, sell it for one cent and get your tax loss.
Ran into severe problems when Royal Bank of Scotland pulled their loan. No money left for the shareholders and he is surprised that it still trades at $.11.