Stock price when the opinion was issued
Still likes this. Up about 50% from where he bought it. He maintains the view that because it has very important metals processing facilities, it is going to have life after death, which occurs after the end of their contract. It doesn’t make sense that no one buys it or that the contract is not renewed.
A zinc processing plant, with Glencore (GLEN-LSE) being the primary customer. The yield seems too good to be true. In this case it is not, because the stock can sustain their yield. An extremely cheap stock. Trades at 2X Price to Earnings, 1.6X EBITDA and has a 17% yield. The contract runs out in 2017, and it is unclear what is going to happen at that point. Trading at about .5X BV. The assets are worth something even after the 1 year is up. If you hold it today, you are going to get 17% of your money back in yield between now and 2017, and then you have optionality beyond that. Not a bad place to be.
They have one client: Gencore. The contract has been renewed, but the challenge is that it is at market pricing. The company may not be able to make a profit at these prices and may not be able to maintain the yield. Stay clear until you get a sense of what the financials look like and what will the yield be.
This has been absolutely taken through the wringer. There is a massive strike going on, with no end to it. There are 3 zinc smelters in all of North America, and this is one of them. Realistically, it is a recovery situation of some sort. Management has been running the operation. Glencore is the all-powerful tool behind this company, and they are going to need to have one of the smelters to stay in place. He is not going to leave this one.
The units have done pretty well over the last little while. Noranda is tricky, and is hard to wrap your mind around. It is effectively a “pass-through” for zinc processing. Really a toll booth. Not sure he would be jumping into this, especially after its recent movement. The “units” effectively have a priority to receive dividends.