Stockchase Opinions

Alexander MacDonald McDonalds MCD-N TOP PICK Aug 12, 2024

He added at $250 a month ago. With inflation the lower income population shifted more to eating at home and away from fast food restaurants. McDonalds is now moving to more value priced deals and encouraging people to shift to digital offerings, apps, to increase the use of a loyalty program. McDonalds has a unique business model in that it owns the land that the franchises sit on. 40% of its revenue comes from rent from the franchises.       Buy 28  Hold 13  Sell 0

(Analysts’ price target is $295.39)
$269.460

Stock price when the opinion was issued

food services
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COMMENT

It recovered a few dollars today after falling on the illnesses caused by the Quarter Pounder. We don't want that gain. Rather, we want upside on a good quarter--they report tomorrow. 

WAIT

It was over bought to begin with before the recent difficulties. It is in a trading range so if it hit $260 or $270 he would buy it.

DON'T BUY

He trimmed it last year due to continued cost pressures and valuation. Is worried about sales growth stagnating and more competition.

WATCH

They report Thursday. Restaurants have struggled because of high prices, but MCD rolled out some cheaper offerings and customers responded, he hopes.

DON'T BUY

Well managed. Super-competitive environment. Noted consumer weakness in US and globally. Great job adapting to changing environment over the last 30 years. Growth only about 5-7%. More expensive US mortgages have reduced disposable income.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

He always says buy on dips. A machine, well-run by fine managers.

BUY

Was downgraded last Friday and today over fears they won't meet expectations this quarter, including disappointment over MCD's new chicken strips dish, that it won't turn things around. Rather, customer prefer heavily breaded chicken and the find these strips ugly. However, history says it has never paid to downgrade MCD. It's the king, offering good value and is highly well-run. The CEO will figure it out.

WATCH

Ability to source domestically is quite high, so impact of tariffs would be neutral. Extremely well run. Very good at pivoting to whatever the customer wants. Keeps a close eye on it. Likes the business; valuation a bit high for pedestrian, yet predictable, growth.

BUY

It reports Wednesday. The stock is out of synch from the company which is offering new, limited food items.

BUY

Run by a good CEO. He sees upside.