McDonaldsMCDTOP PICKJul 15, 2024Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Aug 03, 2026. Market Open.
Half its business is NA, half international. Not a huge amount of growth, perhaps 5-6%. EPS growth of 7-8%. Opens a few new stores a year. More of a landlord, with over 90% franchised. Very high ROIC.
Only 20x PE today, down from historically high 20s. In his world, it's a staple not discretionary :) Yield is 2.65%.
Was on her watchlist for a while. Pulled back, down 15% YTD, so she added to client portfolios about a week and a half ago. Global, 100 countries, 41K units. Very profitable business model of 94% franchised. So franchisees pay a royalty percentage of topline sales plus, uniquely, rent for the buildings and land (39% of total revenue). Cashflows are visible and defensible. Yield is 2.63%, dividend increases for 45 consecutive years.
(Analysts’ price target is $305.87)Quick service has lagged due to higher unemployment, diminishing savings, price increases. Renewed focus on value, scale helps them accomplish this.