Opinions Gordon Reid
McDonaldsMCDTOP PICKAug 21, 2018
Gordon ReidStock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 04, 2026. Market Open.
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Half its business is NA, half international. Not a huge amount of growth, perhaps 5-6%. EPS growth of 7-8%. Opens a few new stores a year. More of a landlord, with over 90% franchised. Very high ROIC.
Only 20x PE today, down from historically high 20s. In his world, it's a staple not discretionary :) Yield is 2.65%.
Martin Cobb, ASIP
She owns MCD instead, because MCD owns the real estate of their branches, so they collect rent. Because they are global, MCD enjoys economies of scale. It's defensive.
Christine Poole
Was downgraded last Friday and today over fears they won't meet expectations this quarter, including disappointment over MCD's new chicken strips dish, that it won't turn things around. Rather, customer prefer heavily breaded chicken and the find these strips ugly. However, history says it has never paid to downgrade MCD. It's the king, offering good value and is highly well-run. The CEO will figure it out.
This is a new entry into his portfolio. It owns 37,000 restaurants, 92% of them franchised. They typically own the land that the restaurant is on and the franchisee leases it. This creates a very stable flow of cash. Same store sales are growing well. They are innovating in food choices and in payment methods. They have allocated $6 billion for upgrading their restaurants by 2022. The average spend at restaurants is increasing and at all time highs. Yield 2.5%. (Analysts’ price target is $184.20)