Magellan AerospaceMAL.TOPAST TOP PICKDec 21, 2017Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 05, 2026. Market Open.
High insider ownership, so company is relatively undiscovered. One investor owns more than 50% of the company -- so it doesn't screen well for institutional investors. Business is booming.
Defense (~30% of its business, and he anticipates 45-50% in future) and aerospace. Good backlog. Seeing record requests for proposals, especially on defense. Huge operating leverage to get higher margins, which will increase FCF. One of the cheapest in the sector within NA. Yield is 0.83%.
The stock is cheap, and acting better. The sector (in the US, mostly) has been seeing some good numbers recently. It hit a 52-week high this week. We think it can be held, and >$10 is possible, even $12 under good conditions. $16 we think would be a stretch.
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EPS of 11c beat estimates of 10c; Revenue of $235.2M missed estimates by 2.6%. EBITDA of $21.69M missed estimates by 10%. Revenue rose 5.3%. EPS rose from 7c in the prior period. EBITDA rose 17%. Canada revenue declined, but US revenue rose more than 20% on volume increases for fighter and wide-bodied aircraft. Strong growth is expected in 2024 overall. We would consider the quarter, OK, but not great. The stock remains cheap, but unexcitng.
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(A Top Pick Feb 28/17. Up 17.83%.) A very low multiple stock. Trades at around 11.5-12×2018 earnings. Part of the reason is that there is not much liquidity with the company. All the other companies in this space trade at around 18X earnings. There is a good chance this company may eventually get taken out. He is going to continue to hold.