
TSE:KL
Recent additions or discoveries in the deeper part of the ore body in Foster Hill in Australia, have been nothing short of spectacular. Some of the best drill holes he has seen in his career. Management seems to understand those deposits well enough that the drilling is becoming predictive. He very much likes this.
It has not been around in its current form for long enough for seasonal analysis. Technically it has been one of the strongest gold stocks in Canada. Historically it reaches a peak around now and goes into a period of weakness until the end of the year and then into another period of strength. You might want to take some money off the table.
Great management. One of the best performers and is up 128% year to date. Just under 600,000 ounces and is kind of a 2nd quartile cost producer. Very good margins. Did a very big merger last year with New Market, which basically makes it an intermediate producer. From its Australian assets, there is a lot of upside in the near term. After 2 years, the Macassa mine in Canada, probably through a 2nd shaft, can grow production by another 200,000 ounces. Great earnings.
He’s unloaded some of his gold. There are 2 seasonal periods for gold; January-February and July-November. The chart is showing a bit of a top. Although the stock is up in the last couple of days, all the gold complexes are going to come down a little. Whether they accelerate in July like they usually do is yet to be seen. Rate hikes going forward would give a bid to gold, but don’t be a believer until maybe we see yields pushed down a bit.
This went down with the sector, but dropped a little more than most because of the new market merger. A lot of people didn’t like it because there was the Ontario operation, which they were doing well with, and suddenly 3 Australian properties were added in, so where is a fit and how does it work. This is one of the names he is adding. The balance sheet is in good shape, and it is one of the cash flow generators. (See Top Picks.)
Newmarket Gold (NMI-T) is supposed to be merging with this company, but a new bid has emerged for Kirkland Lake which would kibosh the takeover. However, Goldfields (GV-A) and Silver Standard (SSO-T) have come in over the top with their own bid. He believes most of the value is in the company, but it is lovely to see the auction we have seen. The 1st transaction was a good one, and the 2nd is even better. He is astonished at the price, and hopes buyers understand what they are doing.
A fantastically run company that had earnings in line with expectations. Cash costs are reasonable at $481 US per ounce. Gold is just starting to get the wind at its back. He would add to this one today. Yield 0.4%. (Analysts’ price target is $25.41 )