Stock price when the opinion was issued
Doesn't own either. Kinross has historical issues trying to right the ship, doing better recently.
For ELD, a very high 60% of NAV is exposed to development risk. Recent mine is financed and built, but there's still execution risk. Trades at a discount on geopolitical risk too.
His preference is AEM, with one of the best teams and one of the best executions he's seen over the last decade.
We think K is an OK solid miner and recent quarterly results were strong. The company does have decently high debt with a net debt balance of $1.8B, but debt/equity ratio is only 0.36x which makes us less concerned. Free cash flows have been rising over the last few years and revenues have been growing quite nicely as well. We think it is still worth it to hold onto K given the company's progress in its drilling campaign and the recent strength of gold. It has had some issues in the past with mines but these have been largely cleared up. It also had some Russian exposure but these assets were sold in 2022.
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Years ago, they bought the Tasiest mine and paid a horrendous amount of money for it, and then had to write it all off. Now that everything is written off, you have a hard asset. They are now going to enlarge the mine in 2018, and it is going to be a low-cost producer. If we get any kind of a move in bullion at all, the stock should do very, very well. (Analysts’ price target is $6.99.)