
TSE:IVN
This summary was created by AI, based on 2 opinions in the last 12 months.
Ivanhoe Mines Ltd (IVN-T) is facing a challenging period due to an unfortunate flooding incident that has suspended operations at one of its key mines in the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC). While ongoing assessments are being conducted regarding the infrastructure damage, it is projected that the mine may not resume operations until late 2026, potentially delaying any inflection in free cash flow. However, the company has reported record copper production and operates the highest-grade zinc mine globally. Recent developments include the activation of a palladium, platinum, and nickel mine in South Africa, demonstrating its growth potential. The backing from the Qatar Investment Authority serves as a vote of confidence, though the company currently faces political and operational risks that investors should consider.
This has had a parabolic move, and he is always hesitant about getting into a parabolic move. You want to be getting into these when they are closer to support of their 20 or 50 day moving averages. This had its 20 day closer to the end of July, which would have been the ideal point. Seasonality is still positive and the chart is still positive. Technically the stock gapped higher today, and that the gap will act as a level of support.
This is run by Robert Friedland, a fantastic promoter. They have 3 projects in Africa. Kamoa is copper where they are looking at getting head grades of about 3.86% which is phenomenal and should push them into a lower quartile. Platreef has platinum, gold, nickel and copper and is a very low cash cost potential producer. Kipushi deposit has zinc and looking at grades of about 35% which is phenomenal. There are 3 projects which are potentially world-class, but in one portfolio. Zijin Mining gave them $412 million US for half of 1, which basically amounts to 90% of their market cap right now, and they are trading at about a 70% discount to their 52 week high.
An interesting story. They have the three best discoveries in the world in platinum group metals. Run by the best promoter in the industry. The issue they have is that they are massive deposits that will cost billions to build and the money is tough to raise. He does not know when it will turn. Buy it and sock it away. Wait for bad news days to buy.
(Top Pick Mar 3/14, Down 48.33%) He adds most aggressively to the position now. The best promoter he has ever met. Wonderful projects like this almost finance themselves. The market right now is looking for an excuse to sell things. He is a buyer. It is more speculative. This is three of the best assets he has seen in his career. Thinks this company will be re-priced by the market.
Has changed and reinvented itself multiple times and has transformed itself mainly into a precious metals, palladium platinum play in the DRC. This is a development situation, so will need a lot of capital to continue to drill and to build these kinds of projects. In a very questionable jurisdiction.
(Top Pick Mar 5/13, Down 57.67%) He has increased his holding substantially. He has never seen such an amalgamation of things that could go right. Believes this will be the poster child for a Harvard Business School case study for this market. He is willing to take political risk, which this has, rather than technical risk. They have the best undeveloped platinum deposit in the world. They have the best copper discovery in the world. They have to raise a lot of money to put them all into production, but their CEO is the best spokesman in the world.
(A Top Pick March 5/13. Down 67.73%.) Risk is that there are a couple of large shareholders who have been in the stock for a long time and had to sell stock. Doesn’t think the market has worked off all that stock. 3 projects. 1) Platreef, the most important platinum discovery in 80 years. 2) Kamoa, an extraordinarily important copper discovery and 3) Kipushi, the worst deposit, is the highest grade copper/zinc mine on the planet. These are all run by Robert Friedland, the most successful mining entrepreneur of his generation.
(A Top Pick Aug 12/15. Up 169.7%.) Probably the most interesting speculation of his 40-year career. Extraordinarily high quality deposits. One of the best undeveloped platinum deposits in the world, and what he thinks is easily the most undeveloped copper deposit in the world.