Keith Richards
Horizons NYMEX Crude Oil ETF
HUC-T
TOP PICK
Feb 28, 2020
A bit of a contrarian play. It has a little bit of pattern. Oil has been moving between high $40 to $60 range. In late 2018, it hit the level where it's at now, and then recovered. Buy around $12, it will probably recover to $14. Its seasonality is February to April.
Does not trade the front month. It is the December contract of the current year and at some point rolls to the next year. It smoothes out some of the volatility in the crude oil market. It is not without risk. It is not a double up or down.
Energy ETF Commodities are sensitive to the cycle: warning. Suggests XEG or HXE, both market-cap weighted in oil producers, but they are dominated by Suncor and CNQ (over 50% of these ETFs). For more diversification, look at equal-weighted ZEO-T. But he prefers HUC-T because it gives you commodity--and not commodity stock--exposure. For all of these, be very, very careful--there could be severe drawdowns in energy if the economy falters in the next 12 months.