Stock price when the opinion was issued
Oil does well until end of September. Crude oil has gone parabolic, which is unusual. When it hits the peak, look out for the stock market. Everything is positive, don’t short yet, but watch for a move to the downside by the end of August. These vehicles work well when you are in a very strong trend.
For an 8-10 year hold? This is a leveraged Bull+ ETF on crude oil. Any of these levered ETF’s are meant to be held for a maximum of a week because of the way they reset the prices on these leveraged deals. A lot of people who held them for 6 months, even though they were on the right side of the market, kept losing money. It is because of the reset. These things are for day traders.
With leveraged ETF’s, you don’t trade them for the long-term. You buy them for a very specific trade because you are getting double the fun. You have to remember that these funds are reset every day. Oil itself is not basing and he doesn’t think it is time to buy it. If oil does bounce, he would only hold this for 2 or 3 days.
For the long-term? Do not buy this for the long-term. It is a leveraged ETF. A great vehicle for gambling, short-term trading, but none of these leveraged ETF’s should be held longer than 2-3 trading days. Even if you have the direction right, you could still lose money because of the way leasing is reset every day. This is a day trading vehicle.
Will both spike when the pandemic is over? Will both spike when the pandemic is over? HOU-T is the upward moving ETF. It is also a two times ETF. The HOU-T is certainly the side to be on today. If the virus news is true then there will be a lot of pent up demand for oil. But he is not in favour of leveraging. These are intended for day traders.