Stockchase Opinions

Michael Simpson, CFA HNZ Group HNZ-T PAST TOP PICK Dec 02, 2010

(A Top Pick Dec 3/09. Up 74%.) Largest helicopter operators in Canada. Service energy, mining and some firefighting. No debt. Trading below replacement value. Still a Buy. 7% yield.
$14.800

Stock price when the opinion was issued

Transportation & Environmental Services
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TOP PICK
Largest helicopter transportation company in Canada and cover mining, forestry and utilities. No debt and $2 a share in cash. 12.25% yield should be sustainable.
HOLD
Helicopters. Very well run business. Solid balance sheet and trades below replacement cost on the assets. Trades at less than 10X earnings. 8.23% yield will probably be cut when they change to a corporation.
HOLD
Likes the whole services space. Stay with it. The story is not over.
COMMENT
There are 2 risks to their growth. If there is a bit of a downturn in resource activity, particularly mining exploration, they could be hurt. Have some US military contracts in Afghanistan, and they're going to pull out. Very solid company.
TOP PICK
Provides helicopter services in Canada, New Zealand and Asia. Acquired a helicopter company in New Zealand last year. P/E ratio of less than 8. Bidding on contracts globally. Low debt. High return on capital at about 30%. Dividend payout ratio low at about 25%.
HOLD
(Mark Call Minute.)
COMMENT
A cyclical business so there is a chance. Their business is doing pretty well in this environment. Feels the dividend is safe.
BUY ON WEAKNESS

Meets good criteria. Just because you made good money doesn’t mean you have to sell it. You have profit-taking coming up.

PAST TOP PICK

(Top Pick April 12/12. Down 30.9%.) Doing some work for the US government in Afghanistan. One of the contracts is going to go in December. Trades at a very low valuation. Even if they lost two contracts, their payout ratio would rise to about 72%. In his view it trades below replacement of some of their assets. Should still be able to maintain its dividend. He has been buying more at these levels.