Peter HodsonKnight TherapeuticsGUD.TOCOMMENTApr 15, 2015

Value here. Market's looking for better consistency on earnings so it can keep on with its business model of buying "orphaned" drugs. On his radar because it's cheap.

Fits and starts, always lots of promise. Good management, but stock never quite delivers. Right now lots of chop on the chart, so the market's trying to hold at current levels of $5.75-6. If it can't hold, will probably head back down to $5.14. A lot of the technical indicators are oversold, but justice is not guaranteed by it going back up.

You have to decide if you want to ride it out or go elsewhere. Healthcare is getting interesting. See his Top Picks.

Shares are flat, but the company has done well the past 12 months. Topline is doing well as are Brazil operations. Margins are expanding. You need patience.

Numbers are OK, but not fantastic. Better names in the sector. Lot of respect for management. May not be able to recapture the glory days of buying rights to distribute older drugs.

Solid hold over the longer term, need patience. Accumulate on any pullback. Volatility of Latin American markets is not helping, so watch that. Understands how to monetize recent acquisition.

(Note the short timeframe.)
One of the cheapest small caps, accumulate on weakness. Pullback gives you the opportunity. Good job setting stage for margin improvement over time, not overnight. High net-cash position. Capital discipline, good insider ownership. 

A hidden gem. Low liquidity, but has good topline growth, strong margin expansion potential and the CEO has a great track record from Paladin Labs. It buys existing drug platforms, and can now leverage that platform to introduce new drug therapies. Huge net cash and keep buying back shares. 

The stock is acting better, and is up 15% YTD. It has been a while since it saw $6. EPS was -4c vs expectations of (nil). Revenue was $86.6M, beating estimates of $83.1M. EBITDA of $13.58M missed estimates of this $14.47M. Guidance was largely maintained. Revenue rose 4.9%, with margins a bit higher than estimates. Net cash is about $90M. Still not much excitement here. Some recent partnerships look more interesting than the quarterly results. It is good to see the sales gain, but we would not yet call this a dramatic turn. 
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Years ago, they bought a major company that he owned a lot of shares in. He's waiting for another such purchase by GUD before considering it. He's looking for companies with growth and earnings.

Trevor Rose’s Insights - Trevor’s most-liked answers from 5i Research. Trades at a cheap valuation. Investors’ patience has run out. Recent acquisition gave it a new life. Current environment can be favorable. Unlock Premium - Try 5i Free